MCD

McDonald's Corporation

55
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MCD lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

MCD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

MCD's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

MCD PE Valuation

MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect MCD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MCD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$311.00
Downside-12%$242.00

Calculated from the latest close: $273.63 on Nov 12.

MCD's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +14% against −12%.

MCD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.56Q1 2024: $11.77Q2 2024: $11.42Q3 2024: $11.38Forward: $13.34
Q4 2023: $11.56Q1 2024: $11.77Q2 2024: $11.42Q3 2024: $11.38Forward: $13.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.34+17%
Q3 2024$11.38+0.4%
Q2 2024$11.42+5.3%
Q1 2024$11.77+27%
Q4 2023$11.56+39%
Q3 2023$11.34+43%
Q2 2023$10.85+34%
Q1 2023$9.30-1.8%
Q4 2022$8.33-17%

MCD earned $11.38 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

MCD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.4BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.9BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.1BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.5BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.2B
Q4 2023: $6.4BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.9BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.1BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.5BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.2B+1.1%
Q2 2026$7.1B+3.7%
Q1 2026$6.5B+9.4%
Q4 2025$7B+9.7%
Q3 2025$7.1B+3%
Q2 2025$6.8B+5.4%
Q1 2025$6B-3.5%
Q4 2024$6.4B-0.3%

MCD's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $7.2B last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B-11%
Q2 2026$2B+58%
Q1 2026$1.7B-7.8%
Q4 2025$1.6B-10%
Q3 2025$2.4B+24%
Q2 2025$1.3B+18%
Q1 2025$1.9B+1.8%
Q4 2024$1.8B+5.3%

MCD generated $7.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 1.6% from the year before.

MCD Total Shares

PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2.7M shares
1 year-1.1%-7.9M shares
3 years-2.5%-18.4M shares

MCD has 732M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

MCD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

MCD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

MCD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic76.5Neutral

MCD's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

MCD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMCDSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$250.49.3% above
20 week MA$260.15.2% above
50 week MA$286.64.5% below
100 week MA$295.07.2% below
200 week MA$287.95% below

MCD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 5% below its 200-week average.

MCD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$198.2$211.4+6.7%
2021$211.4$266.0+26%
2022$266.0$267.6+0.6%
2023$267.6$296.5+11%
2024$296.5$293.6-1%
2025$293.6$310.7+5.8%
2026 YTD$310.7$273.6-12%

MCD has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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