MCD
McDonald's Corporation
MCD has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MCD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
MCD's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MCD PE Valuation
MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MCD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect MCD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over MCD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
MCD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.34 | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.38 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2024 | $11.42 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2024 | $11.77 | +27% |
| Q4 2023 | $11.56 | +39% |
| Q3 2023 | $11.34 | +43% |
| Q2 2023 | $10.85 | +34% |
| Q1 2023 | $9.30 | -1.8% |
| Q4 2022 | $8.33 | -17% |
MCD has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 0.4% for MCD versus RIVN down 173%.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
MCD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.5B | +9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $7B | +9.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.1B | +3% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.8B | +5.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $6B | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.4B | -0.3% |
MCD's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $7.2B last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 45% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 47% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 47% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.2 points |
MCD has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over MCD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MCD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1B | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | -7.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4B | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | +5.3% |
MCD has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
MCD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -7.9M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -18.4M shares |
MCD has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $519M |
| Q2 2026 | $856M |
| Q1 2026 | $396M |
| Q4 2025 | $573M |
| Q3 2025 | $501M |
| Q2 2025 | $505M |
| Q1 2025 | $477M |
| Q4 2024 | $503M |
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MCD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
MCD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MCD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 76.5 | Neutral |
MCD's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MCD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MCD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MCD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $250.4 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $260.1 | 5.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $286.6 | 4.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $295.0 | 7.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $287.9 | 5% below |
MCD has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
MCD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $198.2 | $211.4 | +6.7% |
| 2021 | $211.4 | $266.0 | +26% |
| 2022 | $266.0 | $267.6 | +0.6% |
| 2023 | $267.6 | $296.5 | +11% |
| 2024 | $296.5 | $293.6 | -1% |
| 2025 | $293.6 | $310.7 | +5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $310.7 | $273.6 | -12% |
MCD has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.