MBIN

Merchants Bancorp

59
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MBIN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over MBIN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MBIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MBIN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MBIN.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

MBIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$33.76-37%
Fair6.3x$38.13-29%
Expensive8.1x$49.06-8.4%
Current8.8x$53.56—
Forward9.1x$53.56—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MBIN's PE is in its expensive range at 8.8x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.1x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over MBIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MBIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MBIN, with profitability improving.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over MBIN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

MBIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$72.72
Downside-16%$45.19

Calculated from the latest close: $53.56 on Nov 12.

MBIN trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MBIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MBIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.86-3.4%
Q3 2026$6.07+40%
Q2 2026$4.98+9.7%
Q1 2026$4.10-24%
Q4 2025$3.78-40%
Q3 2025$4.34-28%
Q2 2025$4.54-31%
Q1 2025$5.43-15%
Q4 2024$6.30+12%

MBIN earned $6.07 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over MBIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$224.9M+31%
Q2 2026$182.2M+1.7%
Q1 2026$175.2M+20%
Q4 2025$185.3M-4.4%
Q3 2025$171.1M+14%
Q2 2025$179.2M+12%
Q1 2025$145.9M-13%
Q4 2024$193.8M+22%

MBIN's revenue is growing: $225M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over MBIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$616.9M+2472%
Q2 2026$210.9M+$336.5M
Q1 2026-$598.5M-524%
Q4 2025-$401.7M-$385.4M
Q3 2025$24M+$521.2M
Q2 2025-$125.7M-374%
Q1 2025$141.2M+$527.3M
Q4 2024-$16.3M-102%

MBIN has the edge over SOFI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

MBIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year+0.2%+82.8K shares
3 years+6.2%+2.7M shares
5 years+6.3%+2.7M shares
Available history+6.8%+2.9M shares

MBIN has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

MBIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

MBIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBIN.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over MBIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MBIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.0Neutral
Stochastic56.3Neutral

MBIN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

MBIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMBINSector medianRelative
PE8.8x13x32% below
PE %866323 pts above

MBIN has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MBIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.85.5% above
20 week MA$51.53.9% above
50 week MA$46.216% above
100 week MA$40.333% above
200 week MA$37.941% above

MBIN has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

MBIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$18.6+43%
2021$18.6$31.5+70%
2022$31.5$24.5-22%
2023$24.5$42.6+74%
2024$42.6$36.3-15%
2025$36.3$33.7-7.2%
2026 YTD$33.7$53.6+59%

MBIN has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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