MBIN

Merchants Bancorp

59
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MBIN's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 8.8x earnings, above its usual 6.3x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MBIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MBIN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MBIN.

MBIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$33.76-37%
Fair6.3x$38.13-29%
Expensive8.1x$49.06-8.4%
Current8.8x$53.56—
Forward9.1x$53.56—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MBIN's PE is in its expensive range at 8.8x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.1x.

MBIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MBIN, with profitability improving.

MBIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$72.72
Downside-16%$45.19

Calculated from the latest close: $53.56 on Nov 12.

MBIN's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +36% against −16%.

MBIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.86-3.4%
Q3 2026$6.07+40%
Q2 2026$4.98+9.7%
Q1 2026$4.10-24%
Q4 2025$3.78-40%
Q3 2025$4.34-28%
Q2 2025$4.54-31%
Q1 2025$5.43-15%
Q4 2024$6.30+12%

MBIN earned $6.07 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

MBIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$224.9M+31%
Q2 2026$182.2M+1.7%
Q1 2026$175.2M+20%
Q4 2025$185.3M-4.4%
Q3 2025$171.1M+14%
Q2 2025$179.2M+12%
Q1 2025$145.9M-13%
Q4 2024$193.8M+22%

MBIN's revenue is growing: $225M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

MBIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$616.9M+2472%
Q2 2026$210.9M+$336.5M
Q1 2026-$598.5M-524%
Q4 2025-$401.7M-$385.4M
Q3 2025$24M+$521.2M
Q2 2025-$125.7M-374%
Q1 2025$141.2M+$527.3M
Q4 2024-$16.3M-102%

MBIN's free cash flow was −$172M over the past year, against $23M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBIN.

MBIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year+0.2%+82.8K shares
3 years+6.2%+2.7M shares
5 years+6.3%+2.7M shares
Available history+6.8%+2.9M shares

MBIN has 46M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MBIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

MBIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBIN.

MBIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.0Neutral
Stochastic56.3Neutral

MBIN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

MBIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMBINSector medianRelative
PE8.8x13x32% below
PE %866323 pts above

MBIN is trading at 8.8x earnings, a 32% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MBIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.85.5% above
20 week MA$51.53.9% above
50 week MA$46.216% above
100 week MA$40.333% above
200 week MA$37.941% above

MBIN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 41% above its 200-week average.

MBIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$18.6+43%
2021$18.6$31.5+70%
2022$31.5$24.5-22%
2023$24.5$42.6+74%
2024$42.6$36.3-15%
2025$36.3$33.7-7.2%
2026 YTD$33.7$53.6+59%

MBIN is up 59% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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