MAX
MediaAlpha, Inc.
MAX has the edge over VZ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
VZ
Verizon Communications Inc.
VZ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MAX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
MAX's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
VZ Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
MAX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.1x | $14.77 | -0.3% |
| Current | 8.1x | $14.81 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $14.81 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $46.73 | +216% |
| Expensive | 64x | $116 | +685% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MAX has the edge over VZ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VZ PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.3x | $32.43 | -30% |
| Forward | 9x | $46.55 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $43.63 | -6.3% |
| Current | 12x | $46.55 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $56.75 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MAX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MAX, with profitability holding steady.
VZ Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MAX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.17 | -36% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.82 | +$1.84 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.62 | +$1.73 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.64 | +121% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | +26% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.02 | -112% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.11 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.29 | +$0.97 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.31 | +$1.20 |
MAX has the edge over VZ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VZ Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.19 | +32% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.93 | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.85 | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.11 | -2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.06 | -1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.68 | +103% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.29 | +61% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.20 | +57% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.14 | +51% |
VZ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.93 over the past year, against $5.34 in late 2021.
MAX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $375.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $316.9M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $310M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $291.2M | -3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $306.5M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $251.6M | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $264.3M | +109% |
| Q4 2024 | $300.6M | +157% |
MAX has the edge over VZ on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.3% | +14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | +7.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.4% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -8% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.1% | +5.7 points |
MAX's operating margin was 7.7% last quarter, up 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VZ Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.3B | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $34.3B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.4B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $36.4B | +2% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.8B | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $34.5B | +5.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $33.5B | +1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.7B | +1.6% |
VZ's revenue has held roughly level: $34.3B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -7.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +6.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +19 points |
VZ has the edge over MAX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MAX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.5M | -8.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $41.8M | +64% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.6M | -107% |
| Q4 2025 | -$7.5M | -152% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.6M | +194% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.5M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.6M | +1338% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.5M | +174% |
MAX still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $54M over the past year.
VZ Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.5B | +2.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $8B | +2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.1B | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.3B | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $9B | -5.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B | +9.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | +20% |
VZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $39B over the past year, up 1.5% from the year before.
MAX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.2% | +759K shares |
| 1 year | +11% | +6.2M shares |
| 3 years | +36% | +16.6M shares |
| 5 years | +2.7% | +1.6M shares |
MAX has 63M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago, despite $64M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $20.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $20.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $14.4M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $1.6M |
MAX spent $64M buying back its own shares over the past year.
VZ Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -10M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -72M shares |
| 3 years | -1.3% | -55M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +17M shares |
| Available history | +0.5% | +21M shares |
VZ has the edge over MAX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $500M |
| Q2 2026 | $1B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5B |
MAX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
MAX has the edge over VZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VZ Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
VZ's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.
MAX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.1 | Overbought |
MAX's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
VZ Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.6 | Neutral |
VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
MAX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | MAX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.1x | 16x | 51% below |
| PE % | 18 | 27 | 9 pts below |
MAX has the edge over VZ on valuation relative to its sector.
VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | VZ | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 16x | 28% below |
| PE % | 58 | 26 | 32 pts above |
VZ is trading at 12x earnings, a 28% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
MAX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.0 | 23% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.5 | 19% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.0 | 34% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.9 | 36% above |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 22% above |
MAX has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 22% above its 200-week average.
VZ Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $45.1 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $46.3 | 0.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $46.1 | 1.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $44.2 | 5.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $41.4 | 12% above |
VZ is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.
MAX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.8 | $45.0 | +33% |
| 2021 | $45.0 | $15.4 | -66% |
| 2022 | $15.4 | $9.97 | -35% |
| 2023 | $9.97 | $11.2 | +12% |
| 2024 | $11.2 | $11.1 | -0.1% |
| 2025 | $11.1 | $12.7 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.7 | $14.8 | +17% |
MAX has the edge over VZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VZ Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $61.5 | $58.8 | -4.4% |
| 2021 | $58.8 | $52.7 | -10% |
| 2022 | $52.7 | $38.4 | -27% |
| 2023 | $38.4 | $37.7 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $37.7 | $39.9 | +5.9% |
| 2025 | $39.9 | $40.5 | +1.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.5 | $46.6 | +15% |
VZ has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.