LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc.
LULU offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over LULU overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
LULU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LULU's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
LULU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.6x | $104 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $104 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $167 | +60% |
| Fair | 40x | $490 | +369% |
| Expensive | 69x | $834 | +699% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LULU has the edge over NKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
LULU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Decline | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LULU's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
NKE has the edge over LULU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
LULU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.19 | -33% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.17 | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.35 | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.26 | -9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.37 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.65 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.70 | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.64 | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.84 | +76% |
LULU has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
LULU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.6B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.6B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | +8.7% |
LULU has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +5.1 points |
LULU has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LULU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $225.2M | +49% |
| Q2 2026 | $87.1M | +$358.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $959.7M | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $82.4M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $150.8M | -49% |
| Q2 2025 | -$271.2M | -$268.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $122.2M | -46% |
LULU has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
LULU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -2.6M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -6.8M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -14.3M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -17.6M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -17.9M shares |
LULU has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $333.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $361.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $271.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $190.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $281.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $434.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $335.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $412.6M |
LULU spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 21% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
LULU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
LULU has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LULU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.5 | Neutral |
LULU's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
LULU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LULU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.6x | 18x | 52% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
LULU has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LULU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $101.1 | 3.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $109.2 | 4.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $141.5 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $202.2 | 48% below |
| 200 week MA | $281.9 | 63% below |
LULU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 63% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
LULU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.0 | $351.4 | +53% |
| 2021 | $351.4 | $391.6 | +11% |
| 2022 | $391.6 | $311.5 | -20% |
| 2023 | $311.5 | $511.3 | +64% |
| 2024 | $511.3 | $386.7 | -24% |
| 2025 | $386.7 | $209.0 | -46% |
| 2026 YTD | $209.0 | $104.5 | -50% |
LULU has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over LULU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.