LULU

Lululemon Athletica Inc.

54
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation89/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

LULU's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 8.6x earnings, less than half its usual 41x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

LULU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

LULU's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LULU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x71x95x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x71x95x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.6x$104—
Forward13x$104—
Cheap14x$167+60%
Fair40x$490+369%
Expensive69x$834+699%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LULU's PE is in its cheap range at 8.6x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 13x next year's earnings.

LULU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Decline
Weakening
Broad
Low

Analysts expect LULU's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LULU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$130.99
Downside-30%$73.23

Calculated from the latest close: $104.46 on Nov 12.

LULU's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +25% against −30%.

LULU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.86Q1 2024: $12.20Q2 2024: $12.46Q3 2024: $12.93Q4 2024: $13.84Q1 2025: $14.64Q2 2025: $14.70Q3 2025: $14.65Q4 2025: $14.37Q1 2026: $13.26Q2 2026: $12.35Q3 2026: $12.17Forward: $8.19
Q4 2023: $7.86Q1 2024: $12.20Q2 2024: $12.46Q3 2024: $12.93Q4 2024: $13.84Q1 2025: $14.64Q2 2025: $14.70Q3 2025: $14.65Q4 2025: $14.37Q1 2026: $13.26Q2 2026: $12.35Q3 2026: $12.17Forward: $8.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.19-33%
Q3 2026$12.17-17%
Q2 2026$12.35-16%
Q1 2026$13.26-9.4%
Q4 2025$14.37+3.8%
Q3 2025$14.65+13%
Q2 2025$14.70+18%
Q1 2025$14.64+20%
Q4 2024$13.84+76%

LULU earned $12.17 per share over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

LULU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B-4.3%
Q2 2026$2.5B+4.3%
Q1 2026$3.6B+0.8%
Q4 2025$2.6B+7.1%
Q3 2025$2.5B+6.5%
Q2 2025$2.4B+7.3%
Q1 2025$3.6B+13%
Q4 2024$2.4B+8.7%

LULU's revenue has held roughly level: $2.4B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LULU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: −$271MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $960MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: −$271MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $960MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$225.2M+49%
Q2 2026$87.1M+$358.3M
Q1 2026$959.7M-18%
Q4 2025$82.4M-33%
Q3 2025$150.8M-49%
Q2 2025-$271.2M-$268.1M
Q1 2025$1.2B-0.9%
Q4 2024$122.2M-46%

LULU generated $1.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 16% from the year before.

LULU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 125MQ4 2024: 123MQ1 2025: 124MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 120MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 119MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 113M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 125MQ4 2024: 123MQ1 2025: 124MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 120MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 119MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 113M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-2.6M shares
1 year-5.6%-6.8M shares
3 years-11%-14.3M shares
5 years-13%-17.6M shares
Available history-14%-17.9M shares

LULU has 113M diluted shares, down 5.6% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.

LULU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

LULU has more cash than debt.

LULU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.4Neutral
Stochastic44.5Neutral

LULU's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

LULU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLULUSector medianRelative
PE8.6x18x52% below
PE %24745 pts below

LULU is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 52% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LULU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$101.13.3% above
20 week MA$109.24.3% below
50 week MA$141.526% below
100 week MA$202.248% below
200 week MA$281.963% below

LULU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 63% below its 200-week average.

LULU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.0$351.4+53%
2021$351.4$391.6+11%
2022$391.6$311.5-20%
2023$311.5$511.3+64%
2024$511.3$386.7-24%
2025$386.7$209.0-46%
2026 YTD$209.0$104.5-50%

LULU has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.

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