LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc.
LULU offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over LULU overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
LULU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LULU's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LULU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.6x | $104 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $104 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $167 | +60% |
| Fair | 40x | $490 | +369% |
| Expensive | 69x | $834 | +699% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LULU's PE is in its cheap range at 8.6x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 13x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LULU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Decline | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LULU's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over LULU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
LULU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.19 | -33% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.17 | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.35 | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.26 | -9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.37 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.65 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.70 | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.64 | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.84 | +76% |
LULU has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
LULU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.6B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.6B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | +8.7% |
LULU's revenue has held roughly level: $2.4B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +5.1 points |
LULU has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over LULU on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LULU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $225.2M | +49% |
| Q2 2026 | $87.1M | +$358.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $959.7M | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $82.4M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $150.8M | -49% |
| Q2 2025 | -$271.2M | -$268.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $122.2M | -46% |
LULU generated $1.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 16% from the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over LULU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LULU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -2.6M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -6.8M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -14.3M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -17.6M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -17.9M shares |
LULU has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $333.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $361.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $271.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $190.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $281.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $434.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $335.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $412.6M |
LULU spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 21% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
LULU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
LULU has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LULU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.5 | Neutral |
LULU's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
LULU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LULU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.6x | 18x | 52% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
LULU is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 52% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LULU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $101.1 | 3.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $109.2 | 4.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $141.5 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $202.2 | 48% below |
| 200 week MA | $281.9 | 63% below |
LULU has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
LULU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.0 | $351.4 | +53% |
| 2021 | $351.4 | $391.6 | +11% |
| 2022 | $391.6 | $311.5 | -20% |
| 2023 | $311.5 | $511.3 | +64% |
| 2024 | $511.3 | $386.7 | -24% |
| 2025 | $386.7 | $209.0 | -46% |
| 2026 YTD | $209.0 | $104.5 | -50% |
LULU has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO has the edge over LULU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.