LNC

Lincoln National Corporation

74
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation90/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

LNC has the edge over SOFI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

LNC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LNC.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

LNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.5x$41.80—
Cheap3.8x$63.26+51%
Forward4.9x$41.80—
Fair8.9x$149+257%
Expensive15x$256+512%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LNC's PE is in its cheap range at 2.5x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.9x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over LNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over LNC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

LNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$55.08
Downside-13%$36.21

Calculated from the latest close: $41.80 on Nov 12.

LNC trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LNC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.92Q1 2024: $7.38Q2 2024: $9.55Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $18.41Q1 2025: $7.07Q2 2025: $5.76Q3 2025: $11.17Q4 2025: $5.83Q1 2026: $9.14Q2 2026: $12.06Q3 2026: $16.71Forward: $8.54
Q4 2023: $-4.92Q1 2024: $7.38Q2 2024: $9.55Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $18.41Q1 2025: $7.07Q2 2025: $5.76Q3 2025: $11.17Q4 2025: $5.83Q1 2026: $9.14Q2 2026: $12.06Q3 2026: $16.71Forward: $8.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.54-49%
Q3 2026$16.71+50%
Q2 2026$12.06+109%
Q1 2026$9.14+29%
Q4 2025$5.83-68%
Q3 2025$11.17+660%
Q2 2025$5.76-40%
Q1 2025$7.07-4.2%
Q4 2024$18.41+$23.33

LNC earned $16.71 per share over the past year, up 50% from the year before.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

LNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $699MQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $5.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $5.5B
Q4 2023: $699MQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $5.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $5.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.5B+20%
Q2 2026$4.5B+12%
Q1 2026$5.3B+13%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.8%
Q3 2025$4.6B+11%
Q2 2025$4B-22%
Q1 2025$4.7B+14%
Q4 2024$5.1B+624%

LNC's revenue is growing: $5.5B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over LNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.9BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$859MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: −$272MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: −$558MQ3 2026: $875M
Q4 2023: −$1.9BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$859MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: −$272MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: −$558MQ3 2026: $875M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$875M+$2B
Q2 2026-$558M-155%
Q1 2026$138M+$410M
Q4 2025$233M+5%
Q3 2025-$1.1B-$1.1B
Q2 2025$1B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$272M+$1.1B
Q4 2024$222M+$2.1B

LNC has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

LNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 197M
Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 197M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+235K shares
1 year+1.2%+2.3M shares
3 years+15%+25.8M shares
5 years+4%+7.6M shares
Available history-2.7%-5.5M shares

LNC has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

LNC Net Leverage

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

LNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.7Neutral
Stochastic27.7Neutral

LNC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

LNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLNCSector medianRelative
PE2.5x13x81% below
PE %56358 pts below

LNC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.63% above
20 week MA$42.00.4% below
50 week MA$39.85.1% above
100 week MA$38.010% above
200 week MA$33.027% above

LNC has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

LNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.7$49.7-15%
2021$49.7$67.9+36%
2022$67.9$30.1-56%
2023$30.1$27.0-10%
2024$27.0$31.8+18%
2025$31.8$45.7+44%
2026 YTD$45.7$41.8-8.6%

LNC has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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