LNC

Lincoln National Corporation

74
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation90/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

LNC's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 2.5x earnings, less than half its usual 9.0x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

LNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

LNC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LNC.

LNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current2.5x$41.80—
Cheap3.8x$63.26+51%
Forward4.9x$41.80—
Fair8.9x$149+257%
Expensive15x$256+512%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LNC's PE is in its cheap range at 2.5x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.9x.

LNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$55.08
Downside-13%$36.21

Calculated from the latest close: $41.80 on Nov 12.

LNC's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +32% against −13%.

LNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.92Q1 2024: $7.38Q2 2024: $9.55Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $18.41Q1 2025: $7.07Q2 2025: $5.76Q3 2025: $11.17Q4 2025: $5.83Q1 2026: $9.14Q2 2026: $12.06Q3 2026: $16.71Forward: $8.55
Q4 2023: $-4.92Q1 2024: $7.38Q2 2024: $9.55Q3 2024: $1.47Q4 2024: $18.41Q1 2025: $7.07Q2 2025: $5.76Q3 2025: $11.17Q4 2025: $5.83Q1 2026: $9.14Q2 2026: $12.06Q3 2026: $16.71Forward: $8.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.55-49%
Q3 2026$16.71+50%
Q2 2026$12.06+109%
Q1 2026$9.14+29%
Q4 2025$5.83-68%
Q3 2025$11.17+660%
Q2 2025$5.76-40%
Q1 2025$7.07-4.2%
Q4 2024$18.41+$23.33

LNC earned $16.71 per share over the past year, up 50% from the year before.

LNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $699MQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $5.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $5.5B
Q4 2023: $699MQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $5.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $5.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.5B+20%
Q2 2026$4.5B+12%
Q1 2026$5.3B+13%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.8%
Q3 2025$4.6B+11%
Q2 2025$4B-22%
Q1 2025$4.7B+14%
Q4 2024$5.1B+624%

LNC's revenue is growing: $5.5B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

LNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.9BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$859MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: −$272MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: −$558MQ3 2026: $875M
Q4 2023: −$1.9BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: −$859MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $222MQ1 2025: −$272MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: −$1.1BQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: −$558MQ3 2026: $875M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$875M+$2B
Q2 2026-$558M-155%
Q1 2026$138M+$410M
Q4 2025$233M+5%
Q3 2025-$1.1B-$1.1B
Q2 2025$1B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$272M+$1.1B
Q4 2024$222M+$2.1B

LNC's free cash flow was $688M over the past year, against −$178M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like LNC.

LNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 197M
Q4 2023: 171MQ1 2024: 172MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 197M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+235K shares
1 year+1.2%+2.3M shares
3 years+15%+25.8M shares
5 years+4%+7.6M shares
Available history-2.7%-5.5M shares

LNC has 197M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

LNC Net Leverage

LNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.7Neutral
Stochastic27.7Neutral

LNC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

LNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLNCSector medianRelative
PE2.5x13x81% below
PE %56358 pts below

LNC is trading at 2.5x earnings, a 81% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.63% above
20 week MA$42.00.4% below
50 week MA$39.85.1% above
100 week MA$38.010% above
200 week MA$33.027% above

LNC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 200-week average.

LNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.7$49.7-15%
2021$49.7$67.9+36%
2022$67.9$30.1-56%
2023$30.1$27.0-10%
2024$27.0$31.8+18%
2025$31.8$45.7+44%
2026 YTD$45.7$41.8-8.6%

LNC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 8.6% so far in 2026.

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