LII
Lennox International Inc.
LII has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over LII overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
LII Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LII's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LII PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 16x | $348 | — |
| Forward | 16x | $348 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $412 | +18% |
| Fair | 24x | $526 | +51% |
| Expensive | 30x | $651 | +87% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LII's PE is in its cheap range at 16.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15.6x.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LII Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LII's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over LII on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
LII Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $22.37 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $21.55 | -9% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.12 | -5.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.22 | -1% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.24 | -1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.69 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.39 | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $22.44 | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.54 | +36% |
LII has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
LII Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | -4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +2.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +16% |
LII's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +2.1 points |
LII has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over LII on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LII Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.1M | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $136.3M | +134% |
| Q1 2026 | -$39.4M | +$21.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $376.7M | +38% |
| Q3 2025 | $265.1M | -35% |
| Q2 2025 | $58.3M | -61% |
| Q1 2025 | -$61.3M | -$9M |
| Q4 2024 | $272.2M | +50% |
LII has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
LII Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -2% | -700K shares |
| 3 years | -3.4% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -6.8% | -2.5M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -4.9M shares |
LII has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $150.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $131.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $19.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $150.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $37M |
| Q2 2025 | $209.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $85.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $40.7M |
LII spent $452M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 21% from the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
LII Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
LII's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LII Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.4 | Oversold |
LII's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
LII PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | LII | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 24x | 33% below |
| PE % | 2 | 58 | 56 pts below |
LII is trading at 16x earnings, a 33% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LII Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $356.8 | 2.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $412.6 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $470.9 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $520.2 | 33% below |
| 200 week MA | $475.9 | 27% below |
LII is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
LII Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $243.3 | $273.4 | +12% |
| 2021 | $273.4 | $316.1 | +16% |
| 2022 | $316.1 | $243.1 | -23% |
| 2023 | $243.1 | $447.5 | +84% |
| 2024 | $447.5 | $620.0 | +39% |
| 2025 | $620.0 | $498.2 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $498.2 | $348.1 | -30% |
LII is down 30% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over LII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.