LII

Lennox International Inc.

48
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

LII's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 16x earnings, below its usual 25x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

LII Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

LII's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LII PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$348—
Forward16x$348—
Cheap19x$412+18%
Fair24x$526+51%
Expensive30x$651+87%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LII's PE is in its cheap range at 16.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15.6x.

LII Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LII's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LII Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$419.16
Downside-25%$261.67

Calculated from the latest close: $348.08 on Nov 12.

LII's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −25% against +20%.

LII Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.54Q1 2024: $17.26Q2 2024: $18.03Q3 2024: $21.06Q4 2024: $22.54Q1 2025: $22.44Q2 2025: $23.39Q3 2025: $23.69Q4 2025: $22.24Q1 2026: $22.22Q2 2026: $22.12Q3 2026: $21.55Forward: $22.37
Q4 2023: $16.54Q1 2024: $17.26Q2 2024: $18.03Q3 2024: $21.06Q4 2024: $22.54Q1 2025: $22.44Q2 2025: $23.39Q3 2025: $23.69Q4 2025: $22.24Q1 2026: $22.22Q2 2026: $22.12Q3 2026: $21.55Forward: $22.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.37+3.8%
Q3 2026$21.55-9%
Q2 2026$22.12-5.4%
Q1 2026$22.22-1%
Q4 2025$22.24-1.3%
Q3 2025$23.69+12%
Q2 2025$23.39+30%
Q1 2025$22.44+30%
Q4 2024$22.54+36%

LII earned $21.55 per share over the past year, down 9% from the year before.

LII Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+10%
Q2 2026$1.5B+3%
Q1 2026$1.1B+5.8%
Q4 2025$1.2B-11%
Q3 2025$1.4B-4.8%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.4%
Q1 2025$1.1B+2.4%
Q4 2024$1.3B+16%

LII's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

LII Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $411MQ4 2024: $272MQ1 2025: −$61MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $377MQ1 2026: −$39MQ2 2026: $136MQ3 2026: $362M
Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $411MQ4 2024: $272MQ1 2025: −$61MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $377MQ1 2026: −$39MQ2 2026: $136MQ3 2026: $362M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.1M+37%
Q2 2026$136.3M+134%
Q1 2026-$39.4M+$21.9M
Q4 2025$376.7M+38%
Q3 2025$265.1M-35%
Q2 2025$58.3M-61%
Q1 2025-$61.3M-$9M
Q4 2024$272.2M+50%

LII generated $836M in free cash flow over the past year, up 56% from the year before.

LII Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-300K shares
1 year-2%-700K shares
3 years-3.4%-1.2M shares
5 years-6.8%-2.5M shares
Available history-12%-4.9M shares

LII has 35M diluted shares, down 2% from a year ago, with $452M in buybacks over the past year.

LII Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

LII's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

LII Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.8Neutral
Stochastic15.4Oversold

LII's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

LII PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricLIISector medianRelative
PE16x24x33% below
PE %25856 pts below

LII is trading at 16x earnings, a 33% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

LII Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$356.82.4% below
20 week MA$412.616% below
50 week MA$470.926% below
100 week MA$520.233% below
200 week MA$475.927% below

LII is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.

LII Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$243.3$273.4+12%
2021$273.4$316.1+16%
2022$316.1$243.1-23%
2023$243.1$447.5+84%
2024$447.5$620.0+39%
2025$620.0$498.2-20%
2026 YTD$498.2$348.1-30%

LII is down 30% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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