LGIH
LGI Homes, Inc.
LGIH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over LGIH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
LGIH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
LGIH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $20.61 | -50% |
| Fair | 11x | $33.17 | -19% |
| Expensive | 14x | $42.66 | +3.7% |
| Current | 14x | $41.12 | — |
| Forward | 15x | $41.12 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LGIH has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
LGIH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over LGIH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
LGIH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.67 | -12% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.04 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.84 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.04 | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | -62% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.53 | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.63 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.75 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.30 | -1.4% |
LGIH has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
LGIH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $444.5M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $516M | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.7M | -9% |
| Q4 2025 | $474M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $396.6M | -39% |
| Q2 2025 | $483.5M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $351.4M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $557.4M | -8.4% |
LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.5% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.9% | -4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4% | -6.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.7 points |
LGIH has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over LGIH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
LGIH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$51.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $113.7M | +$200.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$56.2M | +$71.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $86.8M | +54% |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.3M | +$4.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$86.4M | -$2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$128M | -$27.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.4M | +$90.7M |
LGIH has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
LGIH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +187K shares |
| 1 year | +1.4% | +317K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -175K shares |
| 5 years | -5.5% | -1.4M shares |
| Available history | -7.7% | -2M shares |
LGIH has 23M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $20.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $13M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $8M |
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over LGIH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
LGIH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 19.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 6.6x | High |
LGIH has more cash than debt.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over LGIH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LGIH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.0 | Oversold |
LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LGIH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 80 | 47 | 33 pts above |
LGIH has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LGIH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.8 | 8.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $52.1 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $49.7 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.1 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $83.9 | 51% below |
LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over LGIH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LGIH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $70.5 | $112.7 | +60% |
| 2021 | $112.7 | $152.2 | +35% |
| 2022 | $152.2 | $94.8 | -38% |
| 2023 | $94.8 | $133.2 | +40% |
| 2024 | $133.2 | $89.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $89.6 | $43.2 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.2 | $41.1 | -4.8% |
LGIH has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.