LGIH

LGI Homes, Inc.

37
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

LGIH's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

LGIH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Strong

LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

LGIH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$20.61-50%
Fair11x$33.17-19%
Expensive14x$42.66+3.7%
Current14x$41.12—
Forward15x$41.12—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LGIH's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

LGIH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LGIH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$56.52
Downside-30%$28.93

Calculated from the latest close: $41.12 on Nov 12.

LGIH's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +37% against −30%.

LGIH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.42Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $8.23Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.30Q1 2025: $7.75Q2 2025: $6.63Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $2.84Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $2.67
Q4 2023: $8.42Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $8.23Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.30Q1 2025: $7.75Q2 2025: $6.63Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $2.84Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $2.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.67-12%
Q3 2026$3.04-33%
Q2 2026$2.84-57%
Q1 2026$3.04-61%
Q4 2025$3.12-62%
Q3 2025$4.53-46%
Q2 2025$6.63-19%
Q1 2025$7.75-3.1%
Q4 2024$8.30-1.4%

LGIH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.04 over the past year, against $18.05 in late 2021.

LGIH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $391MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $652MQ4 2024: $557MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $474MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $444M
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $391MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $652MQ4 2024: $557MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $474MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $444M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$444.5M+12%
Q2 2026$516M+6.7%
Q1 2026$319.7M-9%
Q4 2025$474M-15%
Q3 2025$396.6M-39%
Q2 2025$483.5M-20%
Q1 2025$351.4M-10%
Q4 2024$557.4M-8.4%

LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

LGIH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$84MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$86MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$84MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$86MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$51.2M
Q2 2026$113.7M+$200.2M
Q1 2026-$56.2M+$71.7M
Q4 2025$86.8M+54%
Q3 2025-$13.3M+$4.6M
Q2 2025-$86.4M-$2.7M
Q1 2025-$128M-$27.5M
Q4 2024$56.4M+$90.7M

LGIH's free cash flow has turned positive after five years mostly in the red: $182M over the past year.

LGIH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+187K shares
1 year+1.4%+317K shares
3 years-0.7%-175K shares
5 years-5.5%-1.4M shares
Available history-7.7%-2M shares

LGIH has 23M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

LGIH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 19.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 19.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 202519.0xHigh
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20246.6xHigh

LGIH has more cash than debt.

LGIH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic20.0Oversold

LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLGIHSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %804733 pts above

LGIH is trading at 14x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LGIH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.88.2% below
20 week MA$52.121% below
50 week MA$49.717% below
100 week MA$56.127% below
200 week MA$83.951% below

LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

LGIH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$70.5$112.7+60%
2021$112.7$152.2+35%
2022$152.2$94.8-38%
2023$94.8$133.2+40%
2024$133.2$89.6-33%
2025$89.6$43.2-52%
2026 YTD$43.2$41.1-4.8%

LGIH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.8% so far in 2026.

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