LGIH
LGI Homes, Inc.
LGIH's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.
LGIH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
LGIH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $20.61 | -50% |
| Fair | 11x | $33.17 | -19% |
| Expensive | 14x | $42.66 | +3.7% |
| Current | 14x | $41.12 | — |
| Forward | 15x | $41.12 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LGIH's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.
LGIH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LGIH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.67 | -12% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.04 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.84 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.04 | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | -62% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.53 | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.63 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.75 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.30 | -1.4% |
LGIH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.04 over the past year, against $18.05 in late 2021.
LGIH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $444.5M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $516M | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.7M | -9% |
| Q4 2025 | $474M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $396.6M | -39% |
| Q2 2025 | $483.5M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $351.4M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $557.4M | -8.4% |
LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.5% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.9% | -4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4% | -6.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.7 points |
LGIH's operating margin was 7.5% last quarter, up 2.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LGIH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$51.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $113.7M | +$200.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$56.2M | +$71.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $86.8M | +54% |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.3M | +$4.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$86.4M | -$2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$128M | -$27.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.4M | +$90.7M |
LGIH's free cash flow has turned positive after five years mostly in the red: $182M over the past year.
LGIH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 19.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 6.6x | High |
LGIH has more cash than debt.
LGIH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.0 | Oversold |
LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LGIH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 80 | 47 | 33 pts above |
LGIH is trading at 14x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LGIH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.8 | 8.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $52.1 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $49.7 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.1 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $83.9 | 51% below |
LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
LGIH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $70.5 | $112.7 | +60% |
| 2021 | $112.7 | $152.2 | +35% |
| 2022 | $152.2 | $94.8 | -38% |
| 2023 | $94.8 | $133.2 | +40% |
| 2024 | $133.2 | $89.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $89.6 | $43.2 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.2 | $41.1 | -4.8% |
LGIH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.8% so far in 2026.