LGIH
LGI Homes, Inc.
LGIH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over LGIH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LGIH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
LGIH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $20.61 | -50% |
| Fair | 11x | $33.17 | -19% |
| Expensive | 14x | $42.66 | +3.7% |
| Current | 14x | $41.12 | — |
| Forward | 15x | $41.12 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LGIH's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over LGIH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LGIH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LGIH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.67 | -12% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.04 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.84 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.04 | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | -62% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.53 | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.63 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.75 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.30 | -1.4% |
LGIH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.04 over the past year, against $18.05 in late 2021.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over LGIH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LGIH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $444.5M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $516M | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.7M | -9% |
| Q4 2025 | $474M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $396.6M | -39% |
| Q2 2025 | $483.5M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $351.4M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $557.4M | -8.4% |
LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.5% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.9% | -4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4% | -6.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.7 points |
LGIH's operating margin was 7.5% last quarter, up 2.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE has the edge over LGIH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over LGIH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LGIH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$51.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $113.7M | +$200.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$56.2M | +$71.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $86.8M | +54% |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.3M | +$4.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$86.4M | -$2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$128M | -$27.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.4M | +$90.7M |
LGIH has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
LGIH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 19.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 6.6x | High |
LGIH has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LGIH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.0 | Oversold |
LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LGIH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 80 | 47 | 33 pts above |
LGIH has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LGIH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.8 | 8.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $52.1 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $49.7 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.1 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $83.9 | 51% below |
LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over LGIH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LGIH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $70.5 | $112.7 | +60% |
| 2021 | $112.7 | $152.2 | +35% |
| 2022 | $152.2 | $94.8 | -38% |
| 2023 | $94.8 | $133.2 | +40% |
| 2024 | $133.2 | $89.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $89.6 | $43.2 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.2 | $41.1 | -4.8% |
LGIH has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.