LGIH

LGI Homes, Inc.

37
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

LGIH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over LGIH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LGIH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Strong

LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

LGIH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$20.61-50%
Fair11x$33.17-19%
Expensive14x$42.66+3.7%
Current14x$41.12—
Forward15x$41.12—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LGIH's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over LGIH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LGIH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LGIH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$56.52
Downside-30%$28.93

Calculated from the latest close: $41.12 on Nov 12.

LGIH trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LGIH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LGIH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.42Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $8.23Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.30Q1 2025: $7.75Q2 2025: $6.63Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $2.84Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $2.67
Q4 2023: $8.42Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $8.23Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.30Q1 2025: $7.75Q2 2025: $6.63Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $2.84Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $2.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.67-12%
Q3 2026$3.04-33%
Q2 2026$2.84-57%
Q1 2026$3.04-61%
Q4 2025$3.12-62%
Q3 2025$4.53-46%
Q2 2025$6.63-19%
Q1 2025$7.75-3.1%
Q4 2024$8.30-1.4%

LGIH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.04 over the past year, against $18.05 in late 2021.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over LGIH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGIH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $391MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $652MQ4 2024: $557MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $474MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $444M
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $391MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $652MQ4 2024: $557MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $474MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $444M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$444.5M+12%
Q2 2026$516M+6.7%
Q1 2026$319.7M-9%
Q4 2025$474M-15%
Q3 2025$396.6M-39%
Q2 2025$483.5M-20%
Q1 2025$351.4M-10%
Q4 2024$557.4M-8.4%

LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over LGIH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGIH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$84MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$86MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$84MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$86MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$51.2M
Q2 2026$113.7M+$200.2M
Q1 2026-$56.2M+$71.7M
Q4 2025$86.8M+54%
Q3 2025-$13.3M+$4.6M
Q2 2025-$86.4M-$2.7M
Q1 2025-$128M-$27.5M
Q4 2024$56.4M+$90.7M

LGIH has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

LGIH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+187K shares
1 year+1.4%+317K shares
3 years-0.7%-175K shares
5 years-5.5%-1.4M shares
Available history-7.7%-2M shares

LGIH has 23M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over LGIH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LGIH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 19.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 19.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 202519.0xHigh
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20246.6xHigh

LGIH has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LGIH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic20.0Oversold

LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLGIHSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %804733 pts above

LGIH has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LGIH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.88.2% below
20 week MA$52.121% below
50 week MA$49.717% below
100 week MA$56.127% below
200 week MA$83.951% below

LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over LGIH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LGIH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$70.5$112.7+60%
2021$112.7$152.2+35%
2022$152.2$94.8-38%
2023$94.8$133.2+40%
2024$133.2$89.6-33%
2025$89.6$43.2-52%
2026 YTD$43.2$41.1-4.8%

LGIH has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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