LGIH

LGI Homes, Inc.

37
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

LGIH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over LGIH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

LGIH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Strong

LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LGIH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$20.61-50%
Fair11x$33.17-19%
Expensive14x$42.66+3.7%
Current14x$41.12—
Forward15x$41.12—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LGIH's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LGIH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over LGIH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LGIH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$56.52
Downside-30%$28.93

Calculated from the latest close: $41.12 on Nov 12.

LGIH trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LGIH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LGIH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.42Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $8.23Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.30Q1 2025: $7.75Q2 2025: $6.63Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $2.84Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $2.67
Q4 2023: $8.42Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $8.23Q3 2024: $8.34Q4 2024: $8.30Q1 2025: $7.75Q2 2025: $6.63Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.04Q2 2026: $2.84Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $2.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.67-12%
Q3 2026$3.04-33%
Q2 2026$2.84-57%
Q1 2026$3.04-61%
Q4 2025$3.12-62%
Q3 2025$4.53-46%
Q2 2025$6.63-19%
Q1 2025$7.75-3.1%
Q4 2024$8.30-1.4%

LGIH has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

LGIH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $391MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $652MQ4 2024: $557MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $474MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $444M
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $391MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $652MQ4 2024: $557MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $397MQ4 2025: $474MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: $444M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$444.5M+12%
Q2 2026$516M+6.7%
Q1 2026$319.7M-9%
Q4 2025$474M-15%
Q3 2025$396.6M-39%
Q2 2025$483.5M-20%
Q1 2025$351.4M-10%
Q4 2024$557.4M-8.4%

LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over LGIH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGIH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$84MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$86MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$84MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$128MQ2 2025: −$86MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$51.2M
Q2 2026$113.7M+$200.2M
Q1 2026-$56.2M+$71.7M
Q4 2025$86.8M+54%
Q3 2025-$13.3M+$4.6M
Q2 2025-$86.4M-$2.7M
Q1 2025-$128M-$27.5M
Q4 2024$56.4M+$90.7M

LGIH has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

LGIH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+187K shares
1 year+1.4%+317K shares
3 years-0.7%-175K shares
5 years-5.5%-1.4M shares
Available history-7.7%-2M shares

LGIH has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

LGIH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 19.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 19.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 202519.0xHigh
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20246.6xHigh

LGIH has more cash than debt.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LGIH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic20.0Oversold

LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLGIHSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %804733 pts above

LGIH is trading at 14x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LGIH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.88.2% below
20 week MA$52.121% below
50 week MA$49.717% below
100 week MA$56.127% below
200 week MA$83.951% below

LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

LGIH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$70.5$112.7+60%
2021$112.7$152.2+35%
2022$152.2$94.8-38%
2023$94.8$133.2+40%
2024$133.2$89.6-33%
2025$89.6$43.2-52%
2026 YTD$43.2$41.1-4.8%

LGIH has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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