LEN

Lennar Corporation

27
Fundamentals30/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

LEN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over LEN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

LEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

LEN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.4x8.7x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.4x8.7x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$35.62-57%
Fair10x$53.28-36%
Expensive12x$64.56-23%
Current16x$83.58—
Forward18x$83.58—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LEN's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 18x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LEN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over LEN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$93.38
Downside-49%$42.60

Calculated from the latest close: $83.58 on Nov 12.

LEN trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LEN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.29Q1 2024: $13.79Q2 2024: $14.21Q3 2024: $14.59Q4 2024: $13.98Q1 2025: $13.45Q2 2025: $11.92Q3 2025: $10.09Q4 2025: $7.98Q1 2026: $6.95Q2 2026: $6.38Q3 2026: $5.28Forward: $4.68
Q4 2023: $13.29Q1 2024: $13.79Q2 2024: $14.21Q3 2024: $14.59Q4 2024: $13.98Q1 2025: $13.45Q2 2025: $11.92Q3 2025: $10.09Q4 2025: $7.98Q1 2026: $6.95Q2 2026: $6.38Q3 2026: $5.28Forward: $4.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.68-11%
Q3 2026$5.28-48%
Q2 2026$6.38-46%
Q1 2026$6.95-48%
Q4 2025$7.98-43%
Q3 2025$10.09-31%
Q2 2025$11.92-16%
Q1 2025$13.45-2.5%
Q4 2024$13.98+5.2%

LEN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

LEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7.3BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $9.9BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: $8.4BQ3 2025: $8.8BQ4 2025: $9.4BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $8B
Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7.3BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $9.9BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: $8.4BQ3 2025: $8.8BQ4 2025: $9.4BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8B-8.7%
Q2 2026$7.9B-5.2%
Q1 2026$6.6B-13%
Q4 2025$9.4B-5.8%
Q3 2025$8.8B-6.4%
Q2 2025$8.4B-4.4%
Q1 2025$7.6B+4.4%
Q4 2024$9.9B-9.3%

LEN's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $8B last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over LEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $295MQ2 2024: $203MQ3 2024: $801MQ4 2024: $933MQ1 2025: −$345MQ2 2025: −$1.1BQ3 2025: −$191MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: −$463MQ2 2026: −$303MQ3 2026: −$96M
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $295MQ2 2024: $203MQ3 2024: $801MQ4 2024: $933MQ1 2025: −$345MQ2 2025: −$1.1BQ3 2025: −$191MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: −$463MQ2 2026: −$303MQ3 2026: −$96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$96.3M+$94.5M
Q2 2026-$303.2M+$807M
Q1 2026-$463.5M-$118.4M
Q4 2025$1.7B+79%
Q3 2025-$190.8M-124%
Q2 2025-$1.1B-647%
Q1 2025-$345.1M-217%
Q4 2024$933.1M-63%

LEN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

LEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 283MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 272MQ1 2025: 263MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 244MQ2 2026: 241MQ3 2026: 238M
Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 283MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 272MQ1 2025: 263MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 244MQ2 2026: 241MQ3 2026: 238M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-3M shares
1 year-7%-17.8M shares
3 years-19%-54.4M shares
5 years-25%-79.7M shares
Available history-28%-91.2M shares

LEN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

LEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

LEN has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic69.2Neutral

LEN's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LEN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLENSector medianRelative
PE16x18x12% below
PE %994752 pts above

LEN is trading at 16x earnings, a 12% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.51.3% above
20 week MA$83.60% above
50 week MA$94.011% below
100 week MA$107.522% below
200 week MA$123.933% below

LEN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

LEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.0$80.4+44%
2021$80.4$112.1+39%
2022$112.1$90.6-19%
2023$90.6$149.0+64%
2024$149.0$137.2-8%
2025$137.2$104.9-24%
2026 YTD$104.9$83.6-20%

LEN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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