LEN
Lennar Corporation
LEN's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 16x earnings, above its usual 10x. Its downside scenario is about four times its upside.
LEN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
LEN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
LEN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.7x | $35.62 | -57% |
| Fair | 10x | $53.28 | -36% |
| Expensive | 12x | $64.56 | -23% |
| Current | 16x | $83.58 | — |
| Forward | 18x | $83.58 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LEN's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 18x next year's earnings.
LEN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LEN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LEN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.68 | -11% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.28 | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.38 | -46% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.95 | -48% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.98 | -43% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.09 | -31% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.92 | -16% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.45 | -2.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.98 | +5.2% |
LEN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.28 over the past year, against $15.58 in early 2023.
LEN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8B | -8.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.9B | -5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.6B | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.4B | -5.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.8B | -6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.4B | -4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.6B | +4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.9B | -9.3% |
LEN's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $8B last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.7% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.3% | -5.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9% | -7.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.5% | -6.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.1% | -3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -1.6 points |
LEN's operating margin was 5.7% last quarter, down 2.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
LEN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$96.3M | +$94.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$303.2M | +$807M |
| Q1 2026 | -$463.5M | -$118.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7B | +79% |
| Q3 2025 | -$190.8M | -124% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.1B | -647% |
| Q1 2025 | -$345.1M | -217% |
| Q4 2024 | $933.1M | -63% |
LEN's free cash flow has turned positive again: $811M over the past year, against −$713M the year before.
LEN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -7% | -17.8M shares |
| 3 years | -19% | -54.4M shares |
| 5 years | -25% | -79.7M shares |
| Available history | -28% | -91.2M shares |
LEN has 238M diluted shares, down 7% from a year ago, with $993M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $255.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $467.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $269.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $57,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $512.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $521.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $774.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $527.2M |
LEN spent $993M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
LEN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
LEN has more cash than debt.
LEN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 69.2 | Neutral |
LEN's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
LEN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LEN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 12% below |
| PE % | 99 | 47 | 52 pts above |
LEN is trading at 16x earnings, a 12% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LEN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $82.5 | 1.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $83.6 | 0% above |
| 50 week MA | $94.0 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $107.5 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.9 | 33% below |
LEN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 33% below its 200-week average.
LEN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $56.0 | $80.4 | +44% |
| 2021 | $80.4 | $112.1 | +39% |
| 2022 | $112.1 | $90.6 | -19% |
| 2023 | $90.6 | $149.0 | +64% |
| 2024 | $149.0 | $137.2 | -8% |
| 2025 | $137.2 | $104.9 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $104.9 | $83.6 | -20% |
LEN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.