LDOS

Leidos Holdings, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

LDOS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over LDOS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

LDOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

LDOS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LDOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x84x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x84x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$131—
Current12x$131—
Cheap16x$180+37%
Fair19x$218+66%
Expensive25x$277+111%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LDOS's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over LDOS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LDOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LDOS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over LDOS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

LDOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$157.25
Downside-16%$110.44

Calculated from the latest close: $131.11 on Nov 12.

LDOS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LDOS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LDOS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.44Q1 2024: $2.34Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $8.80Q1 2025: $9.22Q2 2025: $9.92Q3 2025: $10.56Q4 2025: $10.70Q1 2026: $11.14Q2 2026: $10.93Q3 2026: $10.73Q4 2026: $11.19Forward: $11.56
Q4 2023: $1.44Q1 2024: $2.34Q2 2024: $3.21Q3 2024: $8.80Q1 2025: $9.22Q2 2025: $9.92Q3 2025: $10.56Q4 2025: $10.70Q1 2026: $11.14Q2 2026: $10.93Q3 2026: $10.73Q4 2026: $11.19Forward: $11.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.56+3.3%
Q3 2026$11.19+4.6%
Q2 2026$10.73+1.6%
Q1 2026$10.93+10%
Q4 2025$11.14+21%
Q3 2025$10.70+22%
Q2 2025$10.56+229%
Q1 2025$9.92+324%
Q4 2024$9.22+540%

LDOS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $11.19 over the past year, up 4.6% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over LDOS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LDOS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.6BQ4 2026: $4.6B
Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.6BQ4 2026: $4.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.6B+3.6%
Q2 2026$4.6B+7.2%
Q1 2026$4.4B+3.7%
Q4 2025$4.2B-3.6%
Q3 2025$4.5B+6.7%
Q2 2025$4.3B+2.9%
Q1 2025$4.2B+6.8%
Q4 2024$4.4B+9.7%

LDOS's revenue grew through 2025 and has held roughly level since: $4.6B last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over LDOS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LDOS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $633MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $457MQ4 2025: $680MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $270MQ3 2026: $761MQ4 2026: $476M
Q4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $633MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $457MQ4 2025: $680MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $270MQ3 2026: $761MQ4 2026: $476M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$476M-30%
Q2 2026$761M+67%
Q1 2026$270M+650%
Q4 2025$452M+112%
Q3 2025$680M+7.4%
Q2 2025$457M+30%
Q1 2025$36M-22%
Q4 2024$213M-5.8%

LDOS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

LDOS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 138MQ1 2024: 137MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 136MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 130MQ2 2026: 128MQ3 2026: 126MQ4 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 138MQ1 2024: 137MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 136MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 130MQ2 2026: 128MQ3 2026: 126MQ4 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1M shares
1 year-3.8%-5M shares
3 years-8.8%-12M shares
5 years-13%-18M shares
Available history-14%-20M shares

LDOS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LDOS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.3xQ4 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

LDOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over LDOS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LDOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic66.9Neutral

LDOS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

LDOS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLDOSSector medianRelative
PE12x28x58% below
PE %43531 pts below

LDOS has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LDOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$128.81.8% above
20 week MA$126.73.5% above
50 week MA$147.111% below
100 week MA$153.615% below
200 week MA$136.53.9% below

LDOS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 3.9% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over LDOS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LDOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.2$104.2+6.1%
2021$104.2$87.4-16%
2022$87.4$105.2+20%
2023$105.2$108.2+2.9%
2024$108.2$144.5+33%
2025$144.5$185.9+29%
2026 YTD$185.9$131.1-29%

LDOS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over LDOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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