LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
W
Wayfair Inc.
W has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
W Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
W's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
W PE Valuation
W has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
W Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for W, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
W Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.81 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.26 | +$1.29 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.47 | -$0.08 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.35 | +$0.49 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.44 | +$1.57 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.55 | +$1.89 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.39 | +$2.85 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.84 | +$2.47 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.01 | +$2.46 |
W has the edge over LCID on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over W on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
W Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4B | +9.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.5B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.3B | +6.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.3B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | 0% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.1B | +0.2% |
W's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.1% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3% | +2.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4% | +4.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5% | +6.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.5% | +4.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8% | +1.8 points |
W has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
W Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $168M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $334M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | -$77M | +$24M |
| Q4 2025 | $177M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $128M | +300% |
| Q2 2025 | $260M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | -$101M | +$51M |
| Q4 2024 | $142M | +28% |
W has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
W Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.5% | +6M shares |
| 1 year | +6.2% | +8M shares |
| 3 years | +19% | +22M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +33.9M shares |
| Available history | +50% | +45.8M shares |
W has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | $75M |
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
W Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 12.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 33.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 103.9x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 5.9x | High |
W's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
W Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 67.1 | Neutral |
W's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
W PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | W | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
W has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
W Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $108.0 | 3.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $101.0 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $91.2 | 22% above |
| 100 week MA | $74.9 | 49% above |
| 200 week MA | $63.9 | 74% above |
W has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
W Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $92.1 | $252.8 | +175% |
| 2021 | $252.8 | $204.4 | -19% |
| 2022 | $204.4 | $33.6 | -84% |
| 2023 | $33.6 | $61.7 | +84% |
| 2024 | $61.7 | $43.8 | -29% |
| 2025 | $43.8 | $102.2 | +134% |
| 2026 YTD | $102.2 | $111.5 | +9.1% |
W has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.