LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
VAC
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
VAC has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VAC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
VAC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VAC PE Valuation
VAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VAC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VAC, with profitability improving.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID has the edge over VAC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VAC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.67 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$7.00 | -257% |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.31 | -240% |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.66 | -265% |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.84 | -258% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.45 | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.64 | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.85 | +7.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.61 | -11% |
VAC has swung to a loss: it lost $7.00 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over VAC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
VAC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +8.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +5.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -3.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +11% |
VAC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $1.4B last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +8.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -34% | -42 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6% | -8.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.8% | -0.8 points |
VAC has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
VAC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $116M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $66M | +$134M |
| Q1 2026 | -$12M | -$6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$6M | -107% |
| Q3 2025 | $51M | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | -$68M | -500% |
| Q1 2025 | -$6M | +$7M |
| Q4 2024 | $86M | +51% |
VAC has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VAC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +400K shares |
| 1 year | +11% | +3.7M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -4.7M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -5.1M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -5.9M shares |
VAC has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $25M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $36M |
| Q4 2024 | $11M |
VAC spent $25M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 47% from the year before.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VAC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
VAC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
VAC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 53.9 | Neutral |
VAC's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VAC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VAC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
VAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
VAC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $109.2 | 5.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $107.2 | 7.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $84.4 | 36% above |
| 100 week MA | $77.9 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $90.2 | 28% above |
VAC has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
VAC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $130.6 | $134.1 | +2.7% |
| 2021 | $134.1 | $166.5 | +24% |
| 2022 | $166.5 | $134.1 | -19% |
| 2023 | $134.1 | $84.9 | -37% |
| 2024 | $84.9 | $90.6 | +6.8% |
| 2025 | $90.6 | $58.6 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $58.6 | $115.0 | +96% |
VAC has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.