LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company
TSCO has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TSCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
TSCO's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 11x | $36.63 | — |
| Forward | 18x | $36.63 | — |
| Cheap | 20x | $70.96 | +94% |
| Fair | 24x | $85.13 | +132% |
| Expensive | 27x | $94.49 | +158% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSCO's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 18x.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TSCO's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
TSCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.02 | -42% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.49 | +68% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.55 | +74% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.67 | +83% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.70 | +81% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.08 | +1% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.04 | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.01 | -2% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | +1% |
TSCO has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over TSCO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
TSCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.9B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +2.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +3.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.9B | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +7.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B | +2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.8B | +3.1% |
TSCO's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $3.9B last quarter, up 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.9% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.2% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.4% | -0.7 points |
TSCO has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
TSCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.6M | -55% |
| Q2 2026 | $328.9M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$111.5M | -248% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.3M | -78% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.3M | +$132.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $575.4M | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $75.5M | -25% |
| Q4 2024 | $271.2M | +61% |
TSCO has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TSCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -3.1M shares |
| 1 year | -2% | -10.6M shares |
| 3 years | -4.6% | -25.2M shares |
| 5 years | -9.5% | -54.5M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -82.2M shares |
TSCO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $89.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $135.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $118M |
| Q4 2025 | $117.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $74M |
| Q2 2025 | $72.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $95.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $154M |
TSCO spent $460M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 16% from the year before.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TSCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
TSCO's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
TSCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 76.3 | Neutral |
TSCO's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 42% below |
| PE % | 8 | 47 | 39 pts below |
TSCO is trading at 11x earnings, a 42% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
TSCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $33.8 | 8.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $33.3 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $39.8 | 7.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $47.3 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $47.9 | 23% below |
TSCO has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
TSCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.5 | $29.4 | +59% |
| 2021 | $29.4 | $45.7 | +55% |
| 2022 | $45.7 | $43.4 | -4.9% |
| 2023 | $43.4 | $43.0 | -0.9% |
| 2024 | $43.0 | $54.6 | +27% |
| 2025 | $54.6 | $51.4 | -5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $51.4 | $36.6 | -29% |
TSCO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.