TSCO
Tractor Supply Company
TSCO's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 11x earnings, less than half its usual 24x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.
TSCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
TSCO's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TSCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 11x | $36.63 | — |
| Forward | 18x | $36.63 | — |
| Cheap | 20x | $70.96 | +94% |
| Fair | 24x | $85.13 | +132% |
| Expensive | 27x | $94.49 | +158% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSCO's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 18x.
TSCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TSCO's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
TSCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.02 | -42% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.49 | +68% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.55 | +74% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.67 | +83% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.70 | +81% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.08 | +1% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.04 | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.01 | -2% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | +1% |
TSCO earned $3.49 per share over the past year, up 68% from the year before.
TSCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.9B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +2.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +3.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.9B | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +7.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B | +2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.8B | +3.1% |
TSCO's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $3.9B last quarter, up 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.9% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.2% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.4% | -0.7 points |
TSCO's operating margin was 7.9% last quarter, down 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TSCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.6M | -55% |
| Q2 2026 | $328.9M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$111.5M | -248% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.3M | -78% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.3M | +$132.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $575.4M | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $75.5M | -25% |
| Q4 2024 | $271.2M | +61% |
TSCO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $290M over the past year.
TSCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -3.1M shares |
| 1 year | -2% | -10.6M shares |
| 3 years | -4.6% | -25.2M shares |
| 5 years | -9.5% | -54.5M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -82.2M shares |
TSCO has 522M diluted shares, down 2% from a year ago, with $460M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $89.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $135.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $118M |
| Q4 2025 | $117.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $74M |
| Q2 2025 | $72.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $95.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $154M |
TSCO spent $460M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 16% from the year before.
TSCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
TSCO's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
TSCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 76.3 | Neutral |
TSCO's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
TSCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 42% below |
| PE % | 8 | 47 | 39 pts below |
TSCO is trading at 11x earnings, a 42% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
TSCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $33.8 | 8.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $33.3 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $39.8 | 7.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $47.3 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $47.9 | 23% below |
TSCO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 23% below its 200-week average.
TSCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.5 | $29.4 | +59% |
| 2021 | $29.4 | $45.7 | +55% |
| 2022 | $45.7 | $43.4 | -4.9% |
| 2023 | $43.4 | $43.0 | -0.9% |
| 2024 | $43.0 | $54.6 | +27% |
| 2025 | $54.6 | $51.4 | -5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $51.4 | $36.6 | -29% |
TSCO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.