LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has the edge over TNL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
TNL
Travel + Leisure Co.
TNL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TNL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
TNL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TNL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.1x | $30.55 | -61% |
| Forward | 9.2x | $78.24 | — |
| Fair | 9.6x | $35.89 | -54% |
| Expensive | 19x | $72.44 | -7.4% |
| Current | 21x | $78.24 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TNL's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TNL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TNL, but weaker profitability.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
TNL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.52 | +127% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.75 | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.69 | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.59 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.44 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.06 | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.78 | -2.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.97 | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.82 | +10% |
TNL has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over TNL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
TNL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $961M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $934M | +2% |
| Q4 2024 | $971M | +3.7% |
TNL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | -2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2% | -24 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +0.8 points |
TNL has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
TNL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $111M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $195M | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $19M | -81% |
| Q4 2025 | $92M | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $136M | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $195M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $100M | +233% |
| Q4 2024 | $75M | -38% |
TNL has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TNL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -800K shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -3.5M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -11M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -24.8M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -27.2M shares |
TNL has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $75M |
| Q2 2026 | $88M |
| Q1 2026 | $87M |
| Q4 2025 | $90M |
| Q3 2025 | $71M |
| Q2 2025 | $70M |
| Q1 2025 | $70M |
| Q4 2024 | $72M |
TNL spent $340M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TNL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 6.4x | High |
TNL's net debt is about 8.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.9 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
TNL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.9 | Neutral |
TNL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TNL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TNL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 16% above |
| PE % | 88 | 47 | 41 pts above |
TNL is trading at 21x earnings, a 16% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
TNL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.0 | 15% above |
| 20 week MA | $70.5 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $70.9 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $62.8 | 25% above |
| 200 week MA | $52.5 | 49% above |
TNL has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
TNL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.9 | $43.0 | -17% |
| 2021 | $43.0 | $53.9 | +25% |
| 2022 | $53.9 | $36.1 | -33% |
| 2023 | $36.1 | $39.1 | +8.2% |
| 2024 | $39.1 | $50.6 | +29% |
| 2025 | $50.6 | $72.5 | +44% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.5 | $78.2 | +7.9% |
TNL has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.