LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
TM has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
TM's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.9x | $175 | -16% |
| Current | 9.4x | $210 | — |
| Fair | 10x | $225 | +7.5% |
| Expensive | 13x | $290 | +38% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TM's PE is 9.4x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
TM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $22.31 | +9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $18.69 | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.86 | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.19 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.41 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $22.57 | -1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.03 | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $19.86 | +11% |
TM has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over TM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
TM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $85.9B | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $80.4B | +3.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.9B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.6B | +8.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.8B | +3.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $77.5B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $77.7B | +2.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $71.7B | +0.1% |
TM's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $85.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.9% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5% | -4.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.8% | -1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.8% | -3.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.5% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.8% | -4.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 10% | -2.5 points |
TM has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
TM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$4.8B | -221% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B | +153% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.1B | +$320.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.3B | +$610.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $4B | +$4B |
| Q1 2025 | $592.5M | +$592.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.4B | +$1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.9B | -$637.3M |
TM has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -6.1% | -79.5M shares |
| 1 year | -6.1% | -79.4M shares |
| 3 years | -9.7% | -132M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -174M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -202M shares |
TM has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $22.9B |
| Q1 2026 | $50,144 |
| Q4 2025 | $50,144 |
| Q3 2025 | $37,608 |
| Q2 2025 | $250.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $835.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $891.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $5.5B |
TM spent $22.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
TM's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
TM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.3 | Neutral |
TM's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.4x | 18x | 48% below |
| PE % | 35 | 47 | 12 pts below |
TM is trading at 9.4x earnings, a 48% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
TM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $196.3 | 6.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $191.3 | 9.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $201.5 | 4% above |
| 100 week MA | $194.5 | 7.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $187.8 | 12% above |
TM has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
TM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $141.3 | $150.5 | +6.5% |
| 2021 | $150.5 | $183.8 | +22% |
| 2022 | $183.8 | $137.1 | -25% |
| 2023 | $137.1 | $183.4 | +34% |
| 2024 | $183.4 | $199.5 | +8.8% |
| 2025 | $199.5 | $216.6 | +8.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.6 | $209.7 | -3.2% |
TM has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.