TM

Toyota Motor Corporation

58
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

TM's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 8.6%, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 7%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

TM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

TM's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

TM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$175-16%
Current9.4x$210—
Fair10x$225+7.5%
Expensive13x$290+38%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TM's PE is 9.4x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$253.64
Downside-17%$173.97

Calculated from the latest close: $209.68 on Nov 12.

TM's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +21% against −17%.

TM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $17.88Q4 2023: $20.84Q1 2024: $22.93Q2 2024: $23.08Q3 2024: $19.86Q4 2024: $24.03Q1 2025: $22.57Q2 2025: $20.41Q3 2025: $22.19Q4 2025: $17.86Q1 2026: $18.69Q2 2026: $22.31
Q3 2023: $17.88Q4 2023: $20.84Q1 2024: $22.93Q2 2024: $23.08Q3 2024: $19.86Q4 2024: $24.03Q1 2025: $22.57Q2 2025: $20.41Q3 2025: $22.19Q4 2025: $17.86Q1 2026: $18.69Q2 2026: $22.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$22.31+9.3%
Q1 2026$18.69-17%
Q4 2025$17.86-26%
Q3 2025$22.19+12%
Q2 2025$20.41-12%
Q1 2025$22.57-1.6%
Q4 2024$24.03+15%
Q3 2024$19.86+11%

TM earned $22.31 per share over the past year, up 9.3% from the year before.

TM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $71.7BQ4 2023: $75.5BQ1 2024: $69.4BQ2 2024: $74.2BQ3 2024: $71.7BQ4 2024: $77.7BQ1 2025: $77.5BQ2 2025: $76.8BQ3 2025: $77.6BQ4 2025: $85.9BQ1 2026: $80.4BQ2 2026: $85.9B
Q3 2023: $71.7BQ4 2023: $75.5BQ1 2024: $69.4BQ2 2024: $74.2BQ3 2024: $71.7BQ4 2024: $77.7BQ1 2025: $77.5BQ2 2025: $76.8BQ3 2025: $77.6BQ4 2025: $85.9BQ1 2026: $80.4BQ2 2026: $85.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$85.9B+12%
Q1 2026$80.4B+3.8%
Q4 2025$85.9B+11%
Q3 2025$77.6B+8.2%
Q2 2025$76.8B+3.5%
Q1 2025$77.5B+12%
Q4 2024$77.7B+2.9%
Q3 2024$71.7B+0.1%

TM's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $85.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

TM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1.3BQ4 2023: −$4.5BQ1 2024: −$237,470Q2 2024: −$30MQ3 2024: −$1.9BQ4 2024: −$3.4BQ1 2025: $592MQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: −$1.3BQ4 2025: −$3.1BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: −$4.8B
Q3 2023: −$1.3BQ4 2023: −$4.5BQ1 2024: −$237,470Q2 2024: −$30MQ3 2024: −$1.9BQ4 2024: −$3.4BQ1 2025: $592MQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: −$1.3BQ4 2025: −$3.1BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: −$4.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4.8B-221%
Q1 2026$1.5B+153%
Q4 2025-$3.1B+$320.6M
Q3 2025-$1.3B+$610.4M
Q2 2025$4B+$4B
Q1 2025$592.5M+$592.7M
Q4 2024-$3.4B+$1.1B
Q3 2024-$1.9B-$637.3M

TM has burned cash in most quarters: −$7.7B over the past year, against −$711M the year before.

TM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.4BQ4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.2B
Q3 2023: 1.4BQ4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.1%-79.5M shares
1 year-6.1%-79.4M shares
3 years-9.7%-132M shares
5 years-12%-174M shares
Available history-14%-202M shares

TM has 1.2B diluted shares, down 6.1% from a year ago, with $22.9B in buybacks over the past year.

TM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.5x
Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.7xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20254.7xHigh
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated
Q3 20243.4xElevated

TM's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

TM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.2Neutral
Stochastic77.3Neutral

TM's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

TM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTMSector medianRelative
PE9.4x18x48% below
PE %354712 pts below

TM is trading at 9.4x earnings, a 48% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

TM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$196.36.8% above
20 week MA$191.39.6% above
50 week MA$201.54% above
100 week MA$194.57.8% above
200 week MA$187.812% above

TM is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

TM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$141.3$150.5+6.5%
2021$150.5$183.8+22%
2022$183.8$137.1-25%
2023$137.1$183.4+34%
2024$183.4$199.5+8.8%
2025$199.5$216.6+8.6%
2026 YTD$216.6$209.7-3.2%

TM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 3.2% so far in 2026.

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