LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SBUX

Starbucks Corporation

62
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

SBUX has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SBUX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

SBUX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SBUX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE55x110x165x220x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE55x110x165x220x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$54.72-49%
Fair32x$71.35-33%
Forward33x$107—
Current49x$107—
Expensive78x$172+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBUX's PE is in its expensive range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SBUX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect SBUX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails SBUX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SBUX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$145.25
Downside-11%$94.95

Calculated from the latest close: $107.26 on Nov 12.

SBUX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SBUX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.74Q1 2024: $3.63Q2 2024: $3.57Q3 2024: $3.31Q4 2024: $3.10Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $2.32Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $3.23
Q4 2023: $3.74Q1 2024: $3.63Q2 2024: $3.57Q3 2024: $3.31Q4 2024: $3.10Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $2.32Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $1.20Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $2.21Forward: $3.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.23+46%
Q3 2026$2.21+36%
Q2 2026$1.73-25%
Q1 2026$1.31-53%
Q4 2025$1.20-61%
Q3 2025$1.63-51%
Q2 2025$2.32-35%
Q1 2025$2.76-24%
Q4 2024$3.10-17%

SBUX has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SBUX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBUX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.1BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $8.8BQ2 2025: $9.5BQ3 2025: $9.6BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $9.5BQ2 2026: $9.3BQ3 2026: $9.1B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.1BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $8.8BQ2 2025: $9.5BQ3 2025: $9.6BQ4 2025: $9.9BQ1 2026: $9.5BQ2 2026: $9.3BQ3 2026: $9.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.1B-4.5%
Q2 2026$9.3B-1.4%
Q1 2026$9.5B+8.8%
Q4 2025$9.9B+5.5%
Q3 2025$9.6B+5.5%
Q2 2025$9.5B+3.8%
Q1 2025$8.8B+2.3%
Q4 2024$9.4B-0.3%

SBUX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $9.1B last quarter, down 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SBUX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$153MQ2 2024: $946MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$297MQ2 2025: $434MQ3 2025: $926MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $92MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: −$153MQ2 2024: $946MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$297MQ2 2025: $434MQ3 2025: $926MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $92MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1B+8.9%
Q2 2026$1.4B+211%
Q1 2026$91.8M+$389M
Q4 2025$1.3B-7.6%
Q3 2025$925.8M+26%
Q2 2025$434.3M-54%
Q1 2025-$297.2M-$144.1M
Q4 2024$1.4B-23%

SBUX has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SBUX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-400K shares
1 year+0.3%+3.6M shares
3 years-0.7%-7.9M shares
5 years-3.6%-42.1M shares
Available history-4%-47.6M shares

SBUX has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SBUX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

SBUX's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SBUX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic75.9Neutral

SBUX's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SBUX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSBUXSector medianRelative
PE49x18x169% above
PE %704723 pts above

SBUX is trading at 49x earnings, a 169% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SBUX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.47.9% above
20 week MA$102.34.8% above
50 week MA$98.49% above
100 week MA$94.813% above
200 week MA$94.913% above

SBUX has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SBUX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.1$102.0+16%
2021$102.0$112.4+10%
2022$112.4$98.3-13%
2023$98.3$96.0-2.3%
2024$96.0$92.3-3.9%
2025$92.3$85.1-7.8%
2026 YTD$85.1$107.3+26%

SBUX has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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