LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SAH

Sonic Automotive, Inc.

55
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SAH has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SAH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

SAH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SAH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$35.57-41%
Forward9.1x$60.18—
Current9.6x$60.18—
Fair11x$66.57+11%
Expensive18x$110+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAH's PE is in its fair range at 9.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SAH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SAH's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$78.03
Downside-20%$48.40

Calculated from the latest close: $60.18 on Nov 12.

SAH trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SAH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $3.70Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.17Q2 2026: $6.30Q3 2026: $6.25Forward: $6.62
Q3 2025: $3.70Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.17Q2 2026: $6.30Q3 2026: $6.25Forward: $6.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.62+6%
Q3 2026$6.25+69%

SAH has the edge over LCID in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SAH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+0.4%
Q2 2026$3.9B+7.6%
Q1 2026$3.7B+1%
Q4 2025$3.9B-0.6%

SAH's revenue has held roughly level: $4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SAH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $421MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $329MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$218MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: $421MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $329MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$218MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$217.8M-312%
Q1 2026-$1.5M-101%
Q4 2025$329.4M-22%

SAH and LCID do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SAH Total Shares

Q4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 32M
Q4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-5.9%-2M shares

SAH has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SAH Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.0xElevated
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

SAH's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SAH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.2Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

SAH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SAH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSAHSector medianRelative
PE9.6x18x47% below
PE %364711 pts below

SAH is trading at 9.6x earnings, a 47% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SAH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.33.4% below
20 week MA$75.520% below
50 week MA$71.516% below
100 week MA$70.815% below
200 week MA$62.23.3% below

SAH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 3.3% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SAH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.6$38.2+25%
2021$38.2$48.3+27%
2022$48.3$47.5-1.8%
2023$47.5$56.2+18%
2024$56.2$63.6+13%
2025$63.6$64.3+1.1%
2026 YTD$64.3$60.2-6.4%

SAH has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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