LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RL

Ralph Lauren Corporation

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

RL has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$252-35%
Fair19x$336-14%
Forward19x$391—
Current22x$391—
Expensive25x$438+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails RL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$511.86
Downside-14%$334.14

Calculated from the latest close: $390.80 on Nov 12.

RL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

RL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.24+16%
Q3 2026$17.42+29%
Q2 2026$15.87+27%
Q1 2026$15.11+30%
Q4 2025$14.69+34%
Q3 2025$13.53+29%
Q2 2025$12.52+21%
Q1 2025$11.61+20%
Q4 2024$10.95+24%

RL has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over RL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+9.1%
Q2 2026$2B+14%
Q1 2026$2B+17%
Q4 2025$2.4B+12%
Q3 2025$2B+16%
Q2 2025$1.7B+14%
Q1 2025$1.7B+8.3%
Q4 2024$2.1B+11%

RL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

RL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$218.1M+$258.7M
Q2 2026$285.9M+$297.1M
Q1 2026$145.3M+243%
Q4 2025$704M+4%
Q3 2025-$40.6M-173%
Q2 2025-$11.2M-105%
Q1 2025$42.3M-48%
Q4 2024$677.2M+20%

RL has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

RL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-400K shares
1 year-2.4%-1.5M shares
3 years-9.4%-6.3M shares
5 years-19%-14.4M shares
Available history-20%-14.9M shares

RL has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

RL has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic68.3Neutral

RL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRLSector medianRelative
PE22x18x24% above
PE %664719 pts above

RL is trading at 22x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

RL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.93.7% above
20 week MA$373.94.5% above
50 week MA$368.26.1% above
100 week MA$321.322% above
200 week MA$235.666% above

RL has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

RL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$117.4$100.9-14%
2021$100.9$112.1+11%
2022$112.1$104.4-6.9%
2023$104.4$144.2+38%
2024$144.2$229.6+59%
2025$229.6$358.1+56%
2026 YTD$358.1$390.8+9.1%

RL has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key