LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
REAL
The RealReal, Inc.
REAL has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
REAL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
REAL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REAL PE Valuation
REAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
REAL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for REAL, with profitability improving.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
REAL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.27 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.65 | +$0.68 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.10 | -$0.09 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.00 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.07 | +$0.17 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.33 | -$0.47 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.01 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.08 | +$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.24 | +$0.41 |
REAL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.65 per share over the past year, against $2.61 at its worst in late 2021.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over REAL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
REAL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $206.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $192.6M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $189.7M | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $194.1M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $173.6M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $165.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $160M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $164M | +14% |
REAL's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $206M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +6.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | +6.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.3% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -6% | +7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8% | +4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.1% | +12 points |
REAL has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
REAL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.3M | -9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.4M | +$9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$24.1M | +$8.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8M | +100% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.9M | +235% |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.4M | -$1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$33M | -$27.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $22.9M | +233% |
REAL has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
REAL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.9% | +7.1M shares |
| 1 year | +9.7% | +11.4M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +25.5M shares |
| 5 years | +40% | +36.3M shares |
| Available history | +48% | +41.6M shares |
REAL has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
REAL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
REAL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
REAL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.6 | Neutral |
REAL's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
REAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
REAL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.0 | 30% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.0 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.6 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.75 | 47% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.17 | 132% above |
REAL has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
REAL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.3 | $20.3 | +11% |
| 2021 | $20.3 | $11.7 | -42% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $1.10 | -91% |
| 2023 | $1.10 | $2.01 | +83% |
| 2024 | $2.01 | $10.9 | +440% |
| 2025 | $10.9 | $16.2 | +49% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.2 | $14.3 | -12% |
REAL has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.