LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
ORLY has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ORLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy |
ORLY's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ORLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 22x | $70.95 | -23% |
| Fair | 26x | $83.95 | -8.3% |
| Forward | 26x | $91.56 | — |
| Current | 28x | $91.56 | — |
| Expensive | 31x | $102 | +12% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ORLY's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ORLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ORLY, with profitability improving.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
ORLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.57 | +9.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.27 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.15 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.07 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.97 | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.89 | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.80 | +5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.72 | +3.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.71 | +5.4% |
ORLY has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
ORLY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 4.1% for LCID versus up 7.8% for ORLY.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
ORLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $4.7B | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B | +5.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1B | +6.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $4.4B | +3.8% |
| Q2 2024 | $4.3B | +5% |
| Q1 2024 | $4B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2023 | $3.8B | +5.1% |
ORLY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.7B last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2024 | 21% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2024 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2024 | 19% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2023 | 19% | 0 points |
ORLY's operating margin was 21% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
ORLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $250.5M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $698.9M | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $788.5M | +68% |
| Q4 2025 | $364.5M | +9.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $304.4M | -41% |
| Q2 2025 | $456.1M | -37% |
| Q1 2025 | $468.2M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $334M | +26% |
ORLY has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ORLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -16.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.7% | -40.5M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -96.6M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -226M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -355M shares |
ORLY has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $922.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $500.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $420M |
| Q2 2025 | $617.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $559.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $472M |
ORLY spent $4B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 92% from the year before.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ORLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
ORLY's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ORLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.9 | Neutral |
ORLY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ORLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ORLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 18x | 56% above |
| PE % | 67 | 47 | 20 pts above |
ORLY is trading at 28x earnings, a 56% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
ORLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.3 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $88.3 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $90.9 | 0.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $92.2 | 0.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.6 | 15% above |
ORLY has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
ORLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.2 | $30.8 | +5.6% |
| 2021 | $30.8 | $45.3 | +47% |
| 2022 | $45.3 | $55.6 | +23% |
| 2023 | $55.6 | $63.3 | +14% |
| 2024 | $63.3 | $79.8 | +26% |
| 2025 | $79.8 | $92.3 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $92.3 | $91.6 | -0.7% |
ORLY has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.