LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has the edge over MTN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
MTN
Vail Resorts, Inc.
MTN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MTN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
MTN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MTN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $87.81 | -42% |
| Forward | 27x | $151 | — |
| Fair | 31x | $128 | -16% |
| Current | 37x | $151 | — |
| Expensive | 79x | $325 | +115% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTN's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MTN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MTN, with profitability improving.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
MTN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.63 | +37% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.12 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.52 | -42% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.25 | -8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.94 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.53 | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.86 | +4.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.86 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.06 | +9.4% |
MTN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over MTN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
MTN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $278.1M | +2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | -7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $271M | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $271.3M | +2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +5.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $260.3M | +0.7% |
MTN's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $278M last quarter, up 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -75% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 41% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | -77% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -75% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 34% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -78% | +2.5 points |
MTN has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
MTN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$153M | +$74.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$28.2M | -133% |
| Q1 2026 | $185M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $244.3M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | -$227.5M | -$77.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $84.5M | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $251.2M | +52% |
| Q4 2024 | $211.4M | -23% |
MTN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MTN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +106K shares |
| 1 year | -3.8% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -4M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -5M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -4.5M shares |
MTN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $45M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $200M |
| Q2 2025 | $30M |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M |
MTN spent $45M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 83% from the year before.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MTN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
MTN's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MTN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.5 | Neutral |
MTN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MTN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MTN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 18x | 104% above |
| PE % | 69 | 47 | 22 pts above |
MTN is trading at 37x earnings, a 104% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
MTN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $147.8 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $146.2 | 3.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $139.7 | 8.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $148.0 | 2.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $181.3 | 17% below |
MTN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
MTN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $242.3 | $275.2 | +14% |
| 2021 | $275.2 | $332.2 | +21% |
| 2022 | $332.2 | $241.1 | -27% |
| 2023 | $241.1 | $213.5 | -11% |
| 2024 | $213.5 | $190.5 | -11% |
| 2025 | $190.5 | $140.3 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $140.3 | $151.2 | +7.8% |
MTN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.