LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over MHO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MHO

M/I Homes, Inc.

28
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential23/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

MHO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MHO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

MHO's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MHO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.3x6.7x10x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.3x6.7x10x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.7x$38.94-69%
Fair6.6x$69.33-45%
Expensive8.6x$90.94-28%
Current12x$127—
Forward12x$127—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MHO's PE is in its expensive range at 12.0x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 12.4x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MHO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MHO's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MHO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MHO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$145.39
Downside-49%$64.25

Calculated from the latest close: $126.65 on Nov 12.

MHO trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

MHO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.21Q1 2024: $17.35Q2 2024: $18.35Q3 2024: $18.63Q4 2024: $19.71Q1 2025: $18.91Q2 2025: $18.21Q3 2025: $17.03Q4 2025: $14.74Q1 2026: $13.31Q2 2026: $11.91Q3 2026: $10.55Forward: $10.19
Q4 2023: $16.21Q1 2024: $17.35Q2 2024: $18.35Q3 2024: $18.63Q4 2024: $19.71Q1 2025: $18.91Q2 2025: $18.21Q3 2025: $17.03Q4 2025: $14.74Q1 2026: $13.31Q2 2026: $11.91Q3 2026: $10.55Forward: $10.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.19-3.4%
Q3 2026$10.55-38%
Q2 2026$11.91-35%
Q1 2026$13.31-30%
Q4 2025$14.74-25%
Q3 2025$17.03-8.6%
Q2 2025$18.21-0.8%
Q1 2025$18.91+9%
Q4 2024$19.71+22%

MHO has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over MHO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MHO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $973MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $976MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $973MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $976MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-4.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B-8.5%
Q1 2026$920.7M-5.7%
Q4 2025$1.1B-4.8%
Q3 2025$1.1B-1%
Q2 2025$1.2B+4.8%
Q1 2025$976.1M-6.7%
Q4 2024$1.2B+24%

MHO's revenue is shrinking: $1.1B last quarter, down 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

MHO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: −$69MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: −$69MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$17M-140%
Q2 2026$31.4M-11%
Q1 2026$135.6M+113%
Q4 2025-$13M-113%
Q3 2025$42M+$110.5M
Q2 2025$35.1M+60%
Q1 2025$63.5M-45%
Q4 2024$102.3M+90%

MHO has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

MHO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-244K shares
1 year-4.6%-1.2M shares
3 years-10%-2.9M shares
5 years-14%-4.1M shares
Available history-11%-3.1M shares

MHO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MHO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

MHO has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MHO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.3Neutral
Stochastic35.3Neutral

MHO's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MHO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMHOSector medianRelative
PE12x18x33% below
PE %984751 pts above

MHO is trading at 12x earnings, a 33% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

MHO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$129.52.2% below
20 week MA$141.010% below
50 week MA$136.87.4% below
100 week MA$130.73.1% below
200 week MA$121.04.7% above

MHO has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

MHO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.8$47.8+20%
2021$47.8$60.8+27%
2022$60.8$46.9-23%
2023$46.9$137.7+194%
2024$137.7$134.0-2.7%
2025$134.0$129.0-3.7%
2026 YTD$129.0$126.7-1.8%

MHO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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