MHO
M/I Homes, Inc.
MHO's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, about twice its usual 6.7x. Its downside scenario is about three times its upside.
MHO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
MHO's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
MHO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.7x | $38.94 | -69% |
| Fair | 6.6x | $69.33 | -45% |
| Expensive | 8.6x | $90.94 | -28% |
| Current | 12x | $127 | — |
| Forward | 12x | $127 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MHO's PE is in its expensive range at 12.0x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 12.4x next year's earnings.
MHO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MHO's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
MHO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.19 | -3.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.55 | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.91 | -35% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.31 | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.74 | -25% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.03 | -8.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.21 | -0.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.91 | +9% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.71 | +22% |
MHO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $10.55 over the past year, against $19.71 in late 2024.
MHO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | -4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -8.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $920.7M | -5.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | -1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +4.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $976.1M | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +24% |
MHO's revenue is shrinking: $1.1B last quarter, down 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.7% | -4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.5% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.3% | -5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.5% | -7.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -3.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +0.3 points |
MHO's operating margin was 7.7% last quarter, down 4.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
MHO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$17M | -140% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.4M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $135.6M | +113% |
| Q4 2025 | -$13M | -113% |
| Q3 2025 | $42M | +$110.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $35.1M | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $63.5M | -45% |
| Q4 2024 | $102.3M | +90% |
MHO usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$17M, but it generated $137M over the past year.
MHO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -244K shares |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -1.2M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -2.9M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -4.1M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -3.1M shares |
MHO has 26M diluted shares, down 4.6% from a year ago, with $202M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $50.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $51.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $50.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $50.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $50.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $51.1M |
MHO spent $202M buying back its own shares over the past year, about the same as the year before.
MHO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
MHO has more cash than debt.
MHO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.3 | Neutral |
MHO's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
MHO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MHO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 33% below |
| PE % | 98 | 47 | 51 pts above |
MHO is trading at 12x earnings, a 33% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MHO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $129.5 | 2.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $141.0 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $136.8 | 7.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $130.7 | 3.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $121.0 | 4.7% above |
MHO has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.7% above its 200-week average.
MHO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $39.8 | $47.8 | +20% |
| 2021 | $47.8 | $60.8 | +27% |
| 2022 | $60.8 | $46.9 | -23% |
| 2023 | $46.9 | $137.7 | +194% |
| 2024 | $137.7 | $134.0 | -2.7% |
| 2025 | $134.0 | $129.0 | -3.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $129.0 | $126.7 | -1.8% |
MHO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 1.8% so far in 2026.