LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over MED overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MED

Medifast, Inc.

47
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

MED has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MED's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MED PE Valuation

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MED Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MED's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MED, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$17.46
Downside-26%$9.47

Calculated from the latest close: $12.86 on Nov 12.

MED trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over MED on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.68-18500%
Q2 2026-$2.32-803%
Q1 2026-$1.82-$1.18
Q4 2025-$1.70-995%
Q3 2025$0.02-97%
Q2 2025$0.33-88%
Q1 2025-$0.64-110%
Q4 2024$0.19-98%

MED has swung to a loss: it lost $3.68 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over MED on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$72M-19%
Q2 2026$76.4M-28%
Q1 2026$76M-34%
Q4 2025$75.1M-37%
Q3 2025$89.4M-36%
Q2 2025$105.6M-37%
Q1 2025$115.7M-34%
Q4 2024$119M-38%

MED's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $72M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

MED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M-73%
Q2 2026$728K+$5.5M
Q1 2026-$836K-144%
Q4 2025-$6.6M+$603K
Q3 2025$10.8M+40%
Q2 2025-$4.8M-143%
Q1 2025$1.9M-65%
Q4 2024-$7.2M-176%

MED has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

MED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+46K shares
1 year+1.7%+190K shares
3 years+2.3%+248K shares
5 years-5.1%-604K shares
Available history-7.7%-936K shares

MED has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MED Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-2,976.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-12.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MED has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

MED's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MED PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMEDSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

MED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.16% above
20 week MA$11.710% above
50 week MA$11.413% above
100 week MA$12.61.9% above
200 week MA$35.464% below

MED has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

MED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$196.7+82%
2021$196.7$204.2+3.8%
2022$204.2$117.1-43%
2023$117.1$67.2-43%
2024$67.2$17.6-74%
2025$17.6$11.0-37%
2026 YTD$11.0$12.9+16%

MED has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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