LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MCD

McDonald's Corporation

55
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MCD has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MCD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Stable

MCD's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCD PE Valuation

MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MCD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect MCD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MCD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$311.00
Downside-12%$242.00

Calculated from the latest close: $273.63 on Nov 12.

MCD trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

MCD has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 224% for LCID versus MCD up 0.4%.

MCD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.56Q1 2024: $11.77Q2 2024: $11.42Q3 2024: $11.38Forward: $13.34
Q4 2023: $11.56Q1 2024: $11.77Q2 2024: $11.42Q3 2024: $11.38Forward: $13.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.34+17%
Q3 2024$11.38+0.4%
Q2 2024$11.42+5.3%
Q1 2024$11.77+27%
Q4 2023$11.56+39%
Q3 2023$11.34+43%
Q2 2023$10.85+34%
Q1 2023$9.30-1.8%
Q4 2022$8.33-17%

MCD earned $11.38 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over MCD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.4BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.9BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.1BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.5BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.2B
Q4 2023: $6.4BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.9BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.1BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.5BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.2B+1.1%
Q2 2026$7.1B+3.7%
Q1 2026$6.5B+9.4%
Q4 2025$7B+9.7%
Q3 2025$7.1B+3%
Q2 2025$6.8B+5.4%
Q1 2025$6B-3.5%
Q4 2024$6.4B-0.3%

MCD's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $7.2B last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

MCD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B-11%
Q2 2026$2B+58%
Q1 2026$1.7B-7.8%
Q4 2025$1.6B-10%
Q3 2025$2.4B+24%
Q2 2025$1.3B+18%
Q1 2025$1.9B+1.8%
Q4 2024$1.8B+5.3%

MCD has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

MCD Total Shares

PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2.7M shares
1 year-1.1%-7.9M shares
3 years-2.5%-18.4M shares

MCD has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MCD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

MCD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MCD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic76.5Neutral

MCD's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMCDSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

MCD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$250.49.3% above
20 week MA$260.15.2% above
50 week MA$286.64.5% below
100 week MA$295.07.2% below
200 week MA$287.95% below

MCD has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

MCD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$198.2$211.4+6.7%
2021$211.4$266.0+26%
2022$266.0$267.6+0.6%
2023$267.6$296.5+11%
2024$296.5$293.6-1%
2025$293.6$310.7+5.8%
2026 YTD$310.7$273.6-12%

MCD has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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