LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LULU

Lululemon Athletica Inc.

54
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation89/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

LULU has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LULU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

LULU's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LULU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x71x95x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x71x95x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.6x$104—
Forward13x$104—
Cheap14x$167+60%
Fair40x$490+369%
Expensive69x$834+699%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LULU's PE is in its cheap range at 8.6x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 13x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LULU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Decline
Weakening
Broad
Low

Analysts expect LULU's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LULU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LULU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$130.99
Downside-30%$73.23

Calculated from the latest close: $104.46 on Nov 12.

LULU trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

LULU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.86Q1 2024: $12.20Q2 2024: $12.46Q3 2024: $12.93Q4 2024: $13.84Q1 2025: $14.64Q2 2025: $14.70Q3 2025: $14.65Q4 2025: $14.37Q1 2026: $13.26Q2 2026: $12.35Q3 2026: $12.17Forward: $8.19
Q4 2023: $7.86Q1 2024: $12.20Q2 2024: $12.46Q3 2024: $12.93Q4 2024: $13.84Q1 2025: $14.64Q2 2025: $14.70Q3 2025: $14.65Q4 2025: $14.37Q1 2026: $13.26Q2 2026: $12.35Q3 2026: $12.17Forward: $8.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.19-33%
Q3 2026$12.17-17%
Q2 2026$12.35-16%
Q1 2026$13.26-9.4%
Q4 2025$14.37+3.8%
Q3 2025$14.65+13%
Q2 2025$14.70+18%
Q1 2025$14.64+20%
Q4 2024$13.84+76%

LULU has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over LULU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LULU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B-4.3%
Q2 2026$2.5B+4.3%
Q1 2026$3.6B+0.8%
Q4 2025$2.6B+7.1%
Q3 2025$2.5B+6.5%
Q2 2025$2.4B+7.3%
Q1 2025$3.6B+13%
Q4 2024$2.4B+8.7%

LULU's revenue has held roughly level: $2.4B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

LULU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: −$271MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $960MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $298MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: −$271MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $960MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$225.2M+49%
Q2 2026$87.1M+$358.3M
Q1 2026$959.7M-18%
Q4 2025$82.4M-33%
Q3 2025$150.8M-49%
Q2 2025-$271.2M-$268.1M
Q1 2025$1.2B-0.9%
Q4 2024$122.2M-46%

LULU has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

LULU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 125MQ4 2024: 123MQ1 2025: 124MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 120MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 119MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 113M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 125MQ4 2024: 123MQ1 2025: 124MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 120MQ4 2025: 119MQ1 2026: 119MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 113M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-2.6M shares
1 year-5.6%-6.8M shares
3 years-11%-14.3M shares
5 years-13%-17.6M shares
Available history-14%-17.9M shares

LULU has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LULU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

LULU has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LULU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.4Neutral
Stochastic44.5Neutral

LULU's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LULU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLULUSector medianRelative
PE8.6x18x52% below
PE %24745 pts below

LULU is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 52% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

LULU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$101.13.3% above
20 week MA$109.24.3% below
50 week MA$141.526% below
100 week MA$202.248% below
200 week MA$281.963% below

LULU has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

LULU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.0$351.4+53%
2021$351.4$391.6+11%
2022$391.6$311.5-20%
2023$311.5$511.3+64%
2024$511.3$386.7-24%
2025$386.7$209.0-46%
2026 YTD$209.0$104.5-50%

LULU has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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