LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over LEN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

LEN

Lennar Corporation

27
Fundamentals30/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

LEN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

LEN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.4x8.7x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.4x8.7x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$35.62-57%
Fair10x$53.28-36%
Expensive12x$64.56-23%
Current16x$83.58—
Forward18x$83.58—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LEN's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 18x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LEN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LEN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$93.38
Downside-49%$42.60

Calculated from the latest close: $83.58 on Nov 12.

LEN trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

LEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.29Q1 2024: $13.79Q2 2024: $14.21Q3 2024: $14.59Q4 2024: $13.98Q1 2025: $13.45Q2 2025: $11.92Q3 2025: $10.09Q4 2025: $7.98Q1 2026: $6.95Q2 2026: $6.38Q3 2026: $5.28Forward: $4.68
Q4 2023: $13.29Q1 2024: $13.79Q2 2024: $14.21Q3 2024: $14.59Q4 2024: $13.98Q1 2025: $13.45Q2 2025: $11.92Q3 2025: $10.09Q4 2025: $7.98Q1 2026: $6.95Q2 2026: $6.38Q3 2026: $5.28Forward: $4.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.68-11%
Q3 2026$5.28-48%
Q2 2026$6.38-46%
Q1 2026$6.95-48%
Q4 2025$7.98-43%
Q3 2025$10.09-31%
Q2 2025$11.92-16%
Q1 2025$13.45-2.5%
Q4 2024$13.98+5.2%

LEN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over LEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7.3BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $9.9BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: $8.4BQ3 2025: $8.8BQ4 2025: $9.4BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $8B
Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7.3BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $9.9BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: $8.4BQ3 2025: $8.8BQ4 2025: $9.4BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8B-8.7%
Q2 2026$7.9B-5.2%
Q1 2026$6.6B-13%
Q4 2025$9.4B-5.8%
Q3 2025$8.8B-6.4%
Q2 2025$8.4B-4.4%
Q1 2025$7.6B+4.4%
Q4 2024$9.9B-9.3%

LEN's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $8B last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

LEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $295MQ2 2024: $203MQ3 2024: $801MQ4 2024: $933MQ1 2025: −$345MQ2 2025: −$1.1BQ3 2025: −$191MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: −$463MQ2 2026: −$303MQ3 2026: −$96M
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $295MQ2 2024: $203MQ3 2024: $801MQ4 2024: $933MQ1 2025: −$345MQ2 2025: −$1.1BQ3 2025: −$191MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: −$463MQ2 2026: −$303MQ3 2026: −$96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$96.3M+$94.5M
Q2 2026-$303.2M+$807M
Q1 2026-$463.5M-$118.4M
Q4 2025$1.7B+79%
Q3 2025-$190.8M-124%
Q2 2025-$1.1B-647%
Q1 2025-$345.1M-217%
Q4 2024$933.1M-63%

LEN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

LEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 283MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 272MQ1 2025: 263MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 244MQ2 2026: 241MQ3 2026: 238M
Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 283MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 272MQ1 2025: 263MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 244MQ2 2026: 241MQ3 2026: 238M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-3M shares
1 year-7%-17.8M shares
3 years-19%-54.4M shares
5 years-25%-79.7M shares
Available history-28%-91.2M shares

LEN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

LEN has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic69.2Neutral

LEN's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLENSector medianRelative
PE16x18x12% below
PE %994752 pts above

LEN is trading at 16x earnings, a 12% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

LEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.51.3% above
20 week MA$83.60% above
50 week MA$94.011% below
100 week MA$107.522% below
200 week MA$123.933% below

LEN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

LEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.0$80.4+44%
2021$80.4$112.1+39%
2022$112.1$90.6-19%
2023$90.6$149.0+64%
2024$149.0$137.2-8%
2025$137.2$104.9-24%
2026 YTD$104.9$83.6-20%

LEN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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