LAD
Lithia Motors, Inc.
LAD has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
LAD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
LAD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
LAD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $238 | -20% |
| Forward | 7.7x | $297 | — |
| Current | 8.5x | $297 | — |
| Fair | 9.4x | $327 | +10% |
| Expensive | 13x | $462 | +55% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LAD has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
LAD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect LAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over LAD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
LAD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $38.68 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $34.94 | +1.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.33 | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.66 | -9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.32 | +9% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.51 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.70 | +8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.70 | -6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.65 | -18% |
LAD has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
LAD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.9B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.8B | +2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.3B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.2B | +0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.6B | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.2B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.2B | +20% |
LAD has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.4% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5% | -0.3 points |
LAD has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
LAD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$129.7M | +$77.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$122M | -$51.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$205.5M | -181% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.5M | +$48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$207.3M | -232% |
| Q2 2025 | -$70.8M | +$207.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $253.4M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.7M | +$344M |
LAD has burned cash in most quarters: −$427M over the past year, against −$42M the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA has the edge over LAD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LAD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -500K shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -3.2M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -5.6M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -8.5M shares |
| Available history | -6% | -1.4M shares |
LAD has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $90.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $237M |
| Q1 2026 | $297M |
| Q4 2025 | $298.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $399M |
| Q2 2025 | $119.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $143.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $92.7M |
LAD spent $923M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 22% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
LAD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
LAD has more cash than debt.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over LAD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LAD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.7 | Neutral |
LAD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
LAD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LAD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.5x | 18x | 53% below |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LAD has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LAD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $301.4 | 1.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $332.4 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $311.4 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $317.0 | 6.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $299.4 | 0.7% below |
LAD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.7% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over LAD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LAD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.5 | $290.0 | +95% |
| 2021 | $290.0 | $289.0 | -0.3% |
| 2022 | $289.0 | $201.9 | -30% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $329.3 | +63% |
| 2024 | $329.3 | $361.0 | +9.6% |
| 2025 | $361.0 | $344.4 | -4.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $344.4 | $297.2 | -14% |
LAD has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.