LAD

Lithia Motors, Inc.

61
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

LAD's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew only 1.6%, while its operating margin held steady at 4%. At 8.5x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 9.4x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

LAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

LAD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$238-20%
Forward7.7x$297—
Current8.5x$297—
Fair9.4x$327+10%
Expensive13x$462+55%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LAD's PE is in its fair range at 8.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect LAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

LAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$394.89
Downside-16%$248.16

Calculated from the latest close: $297.17 on Nov 12.

LAD's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +33% against −16%.

LAD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.29Q1 2024: $33.88Q2 2024: $30.97Q3 2024: $29.31Q4 2024: $29.65Q1 2025: $31.70Q2 2025: $33.70Q3 2025: $34.51Q4 2025: $32.32Q1 2026: $28.66Q2 2026: $30.33Q3 2026: $34.94Forward: $38.68
Q4 2023: $36.29Q1 2024: $33.88Q2 2024: $30.97Q3 2024: $29.31Q4 2024: $29.65Q1 2025: $31.70Q2 2025: $33.70Q3 2025: $34.51Q4 2025: $32.32Q1 2026: $28.66Q2 2026: $30.33Q3 2026: $34.94Forward: $38.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$38.68+11%
Q3 2026$34.94+1.2%
Q2 2026$30.33-10%
Q1 2026$28.66-9.6%
Q4 2025$32.32+9%
Q3 2025$34.51+18%
Q2 2025$33.70+8.8%
Q1 2025$31.70-6.4%
Q4 2024$29.65-18%

LAD earned $34.94 per share over the past year, up 1.2% from the year before.

LAD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.7BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.2BQ4 2024: $9.2BQ1 2025: $9.2BQ2 2025: $9.6BQ3 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $9.2BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $9.8BQ3 2026: $9.9B
Q4 2023: $7.7BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.2BQ4 2024: $9.2BQ1 2025: $9.2BQ2 2025: $9.6BQ3 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $9.2BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $9.8BQ3 2026: $9.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.9B+2.8%
Q2 2026$9.8B+2.2%
Q1 2026$9.3B+1%
Q4 2025$9.2B+0.3%
Q3 2025$9.7B+4.9%
Q2 2025$9.6B+3.8%
Q1 2025$9.2B+7.2%
Q4 2024$9.2B+20%

LAD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $9.9B last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

LAD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$362MQ1 2024: $213MQ2 2024: −$279MQ3 2024: $157MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: −$71MQ3 2025: −$207MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$206MQ2 2026: −$122MQ3 2026: −$130M
Q4 2023: −$362MQ1 2024: $213MQ2 2024: −$279MQ3 2024: $157MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: −$71MQ3 2025: −$207MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$206MQ2 2026: −$122MQ3 2026: −$130M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$129.7M+$77.6M
Q2 2026-$122M-$51.2M
Q1 2026-$205.5M-181%
Q4 2025$30.5M+$48.2M
Q3 2025-$207.3M-232%
Q2 2025-$70.8M+$207.7M
Q1 2025$253.4M+19%
Q4 2024-$17.7M+$344M

LAD has burned cash in most quarters: −$427M over the past year, against −$42M the year before.

LAD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-500K shares
1 year-13%-3.2M shares
3 years-20%-5.6M shares
5 years-28%-8.5M shares
Available history-6%-1.4M shares

LAD has 22M diluted shares, down 13% from a year ago, with $923M in buybacks over the past year.

LAD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20244.3xHigh

LAD has more cash than debt.

LAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.7Neutral
Stochastic27.7Neutral

LAD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

LAD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLADSector medianRelative
PE8.5x18x53% below
PE %38479 pts below

LAD is trading at 8.5x earnings, a 53% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$301.41.4% below
20 week MA$332.411% below
50 week MA$311.44.6% below
100 week MA$317.06.3% below
200 week MA$299.40.7% below

LAD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.7% below its 200-week average.

LAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.5$290.0+95%
2021$290.0$289.0-0.3%
2022$289.0$201.9-30%
2023$201.9$329.3+63%
2024$329.3$361.0+9.6%
2025$361.0$344.4-4.6%
2026 YTD$344.4$297.2-14%

LAD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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