LAD
Lithia Motors, Inc.
LAD has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
LAD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
LAD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
LAD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $238 | -20% |
| Forward | 7.7x | $297 | — |
| Current | 8.5x | $297 | — |
| Fair | 9.4x | $327 | +10% |
| Expensive | 13x | $462 | +55% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LAD's PE is in its fair range at 8.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over LAD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LAD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect LAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LAD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $38.68 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $34.94 | +1.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.33 | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.66 | -9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.32 | +9% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.51 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.70 | +8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.70 | -6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.65 | -18% |
LAD has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
LAD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.9B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.8B | +2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.3B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.2B | +0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.6B | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.2B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.2B | +20% |
LAD has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.4% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5% | -0.3 points |
LAD's operating margin was 4.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over LAD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LAD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$129.7M | +$77.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$122M | -$51.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$205.5M | -181% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.5M | +$48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$207.3M | -232% |
| Q2 2025 | -$70.8M | +$207.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $253.4M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.7M | +$344M |
LAD has burned cash in most quarters: −$427M over the past year, against −$42M the year before.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE has the edge over LAD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LAD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -500K shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -3.2M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -5.6M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -8.5M shares |
| Available history | -6% | -1.4M shares |
LAD has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $90.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $237M |
| Q1 2026 | $297M |
| Q4 2025 | $298.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $399M |
| Q2 2025 | $119.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $143.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $92.7M |
LAD spent $923M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 22% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
LAD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
LAD has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LAD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.7 | Neutral |
LAD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
LAD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LAD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.5x | 18x | 53% below |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LAD has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LAD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $301.4 | 1.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $332.4 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $311.4 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $317.0 | 6.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $299.4 | 0.7% below |
LAD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.7% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over LAD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LAD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.5 | $290.0 | +95% |
| 2021 | $290.0 | $289.0 | -0.3% |
| 2022 | $289.0 | $201.9 | -30% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $329.3 | +63% |
| 2024 | $329.3 | $361.0 | +9.6% |
| 2025 | $361.0 | $344.4 | -4.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $344.4 | $297.2 | -14% |
LAD has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.