LAD
Lithia Motors, Inc.
LAD has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
LAD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
LAD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LAD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $238 | -20% |
| Forward | 7.7x | $297 | — |
| Current | 8.5x | $297 | — |
| Fair | 9.4x | $327 | +10% |
| Expensive | 13x | $462 | +55% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LAD's PE is in its fair range at 8.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LAD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect LAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LAD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $38.68 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $34.94 | +1.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.33 | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.66 | -9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.32 | +9% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.51 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.70 | +8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.70 | -6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.65 | -18% |
LAD has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
LAD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.9B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.8B | +2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.3B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.2B | +0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.6B | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.2B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.2B | +20% |
LAD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $9.9B last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.4% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5% | -0.3 points |
LAD has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over LAD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
LAD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$129.7M | +$77.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$122M | -$51.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$205.5M | -181% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.5M | +$48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$207.3M | -232% |
| Q2 2025 | -$70.8M | +$207.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $253.4M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.7M | +$344M |
LAD has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
LAD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -500K shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -3.2M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -5.6M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -8.5M shares |
| Available history | -6% | -1.4M shares |
LAD has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $90.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $237M |
| Q1 2026 | $297M |
| Q4 2025 | $298.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $399M |
| Q2 2025 | $119.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $143.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $92.7M |
LAD spent $923M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 22% from the year before.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
LAD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
LAD has more cash than debt.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LAD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.7 | Neutral |
LAD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
LAD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LAD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.5x | 18x | 53% below |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LAD is trading at 8.5x earnings, a 53% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LAD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $301.4 | 1.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $332.4 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $311.4 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $317.0 | 6.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $299.4 | 0.7% below |
LAD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.7% below its 200-week average.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
LAD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.5 | $290.0 | +95% |
| 2021 | $290.0 | $289.0 | -0.3% |
| 2022 | $289.0 | $201.9 | -30% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $329.3 | +63% |
| 2024 | $329.3 | $361.0 | +9.6% |
| 2025 | $361.0 | $344.4 | -4.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $344.4 | $297.2 | -14% |
LAD has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.