KTOS

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

61
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

KTOS has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KTOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Weak
Strong

KTOS's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KTOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE261x523x784x1046x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE261x523x784x1046x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap42x$5.00-86%
Current290x$34.75—
Fair291x$34.94+0.5%
Expensive584x$70.12+102%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KTOS's PE is in its fair range at 290x.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KTOS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for KTOS to show an outlook.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KTOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$56.70
Downside-24%$26.54

Calculated from the latest close: $34.75 on Nov 12.

KTOS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails KTOS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KTOS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.17Q3 2026: $0.12
Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.17Q3 2026: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.12-7.7%
Q2 2026$0.17+70%
Q1 2026$0.17+31%
Q4 2025$0.13+18%
Q3 2025$0.13+44%
Q2 2025$0.10+67%
Q1 2025$0.13+$0.14
Q4 2024$0.11+$0.18

KTOS has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

KTOS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $277MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $276MQ4 2024: $283MQ1 2025: $303MQ2 2025: $352MQ3 2025: $348MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $459MQ3 2026: $472M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $277MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $276MQ4 2024: $283MQ1 2025: $303MQ2 2025: $352MQ3 2025: $348MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $459MQ3 2026: $472M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$471.8M+36%
Q2 2026$458.8M+31%
Q1 2026$371M+23%
Q4 2025$345.1M+22%
Q3 2025$347.6M+26%
Q2 2025$351.5M+17%
Q1 2025$302.6M+9.2%
Q4 2024$283.1M+3.4%

KTOS's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $472M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over KTOS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

KTOS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$52MQ2 2025: −$32MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$52MQ2 2025: −$32MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.4M+$5.9M
Q2 2026-$28.2M+$4M
Q1 2026-$47.3M+$4.5M
Q4 2025-$12.1M-138%
Q3 2025-$41.3M-$32.1M
Q2 2025-$32.2M-$16.8M
Q1 2025-$51.8M-$35.9M
Q4 2024$32M-33%

KTOS has burned cash in most quarters: −$123M over the past year, against −$93M the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

KTOS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 189M
Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.3M shares
1 year+9.2%+15.9M shares
3 years+46%+59.2M shares
5 years+51%+63.9M shares
Available history+73%+79.6M shares

KTOS has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

KTOS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -9.8xQ3 2025: -8.7xQ4 2025: -7.7xQ1 2026: -19.0xQ2 2026: -17.5xQ3 2026: -16.9x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -9.8xQ3 2025: -8.7xQ4 2025: -7.7xQ1 2026: -19.0xQ2 2026: -17.5xQ3 2026: -16.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-16.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-17.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-19.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-9.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash

KTOS has more cash than debt.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KTOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.0Neutral
Stochastic11.4Oversold

KTOS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

KTOS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricKTOSSector medianRelative
PE290x24x1,103% above
PE %49589 pts below

KTOS is trading at 290x earnings, a 1103% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KTOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.113% below
20 week MA$47.126% below
50 week MA$65.247% below
100 week MA$57.740% below
200 week MA$37.88.2% below

KTOS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.2% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over KTOS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

KTOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.8$26.4+49%
2021$26.4$19.8-25%
2022$19.8$9.44-52%
2023$9.44$20.3+115%
2024$20.3$26.5+31%
2025$26.5$77.7+193%
2026 YTD$77.7$34.8-55%

KTOS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +193% in 2025 to −52% in 2022. It's down 55% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over KTOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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