KTOS

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

61
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

KTOS has a slight edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KTOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Weak
Strong

KTOS's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KTOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE261x523x784x1046x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE261x523x784x1046x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap42x$5.00-86%
Current290x$34.75—
Fair291x$34.94+0.5%
Expensive584x$70.12+102%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KTOS's PE is in its fair range at 290x.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KTOS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for KTOS to show an outlook.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

KTOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$56.70
Downside-24%$26.54

Calculated from the latest close: $34.75 on Nov 12.

KTOS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails KTOS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KTOS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.17Q3 2026: $0.12
Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.17Q3 2026: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.12-7.7%
Q2 2026$0.17+70%
Q1 2026$0.17+31%
Q4 2025$0.13+18%
Q3 2025$0.13+44%
Q2 2025$0.10+67%
Q1 2025$0.13+$0.14
Q4 2024$0.11+$0.18

KTOS has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

KTOS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $277MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $276MQ4 2024: $283MQ1 2025: $303MQ2 2025: $352MQ3 2025: $348MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $459MQ3 2026: $472M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $277MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $276MQ4 2024: $283MQ1 2025: $303MQ2 2025: $352MQ3 2025: $348MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $459MQ3 2026: $472M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$471.8M+36%
Q2 2026$458.8M+31%
Q1 2026$371M+23%
Q4 2025$345.1M+22%
Q3 2025$347.6M+26%
Q2 2025$351.5M+17%
Q1 2025$302.6M+9.2%
Q4 2024$283.1M+3.4%

KTOS's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $472M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

KTOS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$52MQ2 2025: −$32MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$52MQ2 2025: −$32MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.4M+$5.9M
Q2 2026-$28.2M+$4M
Q1 2026-$47.3M+$4.5M
Q4 2025-$12.1M-138%
Q3 2025-$41.3M-$32.1M
Q2 2025-$32.2M-$16.8M
Q1 2025-$51.8M-$35.9M
Q4 2024$32M-33%

KTOS has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

KTOS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 189M
Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.3M shares
1 year+9.2%+15.9M shares
3 years+46%+59.2M shares
5 years+51%+63.9M shares
Available history+73%+79.6M shares

KTOS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

KTOS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -9.8xQ3 2025: -8.7xQ4 2025: -7.7xQ1 2026: -19.0xQ2 2026: -17.5xQ3 2026: -16.9x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -9.8xQ3 2025: -8.7xQ4 2025: -7.7xQ1 2026: -19.0xQ2 2026: -17.5xQ3 2026: -16.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-16.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-17.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-19.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-9.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash

KTOS has more cash than debt.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KTOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.0Neutral
Stochastic11.4Oversold

KTOS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

KTOS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricKTOSSector medianRelative
PE290x24x1,103% above
PE %49589 pts below

KTOS is trading at 290x earnings, a 1103% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KTOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.113% below
20 week MA$47.126% below
50 week MA$65.247% below
100 week MA$57.740% below
200 week MA$37.88.2% below

KTOS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.2% below its 200-week average.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

KTOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.8$26.4+49%
2021$26.4$19.8-25%
2022$19.8$9.44-52%
2023$9.44$20.3+115%
2024$20.3$26.5+31%
2025$26.5$77.7+193%
2026 YTD$77.7$34.8-55%

KTOS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +193% in 2025 to −52% in 2022. It's down 55% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over KTOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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