KRYS

Krystal Biotech, Inc.

75
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

KRYS has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

KRYS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

KRYS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

KRYS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE120x240x360x480x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE120x240x360x480x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$261-15%
Forward35x$306—
Current42x$306—
Fair44x$321+5.1%
Expensive79x$579+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KRYS's PE is in its fair range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over KRYS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

KRYS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

KRYS has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KRYS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$429.30
Downside-17%$252.93

Calculated from the latest close: $305.68 on Nov 12.

KRYS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails KRYS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

KRYS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.39Q1 2024: $2.18Q2 2024: $3.96Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $3.00Q1 2025: $4.17Q2 2025: $4.93Q3 2025: $6.68Q4 2025: $6.84Q1 2026: $7.47Q2 2026: $7.97Q3 2026: $7.36Forward: $8.68
Q4 2023: $0.39Q1 2024: $2.18Q2 2024: $3.96Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $3.00Q1 2025: $4.17Q2 2025: $4.93Q3 2025: $6.68Q4 2025: $6.84Q1 2026: $7.47Q2 2026: $7.97Q3 2026: $7.36Forward: $8.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.68+18%
Q3 2026$7.36+10%
Q2 2026$7.97+62%
Q1 2026$7.47+79%
Q4 2025$6.84+128%
Q3 2025$6.68+221%
Q2 2025$4.93+24%
Q1 2025$4.17+91%
Q4 2024$3.00+669%

KRYS has the edge over NVO on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

KRYS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $91MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $119MQ3 2026: $127M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $91MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $119MQ3 2026: $127M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.3M+30%
Q2 2026$119.2M+24%
Q1 2026$116.4M+32%
Q4 2025$107.1M+18%
Q3 2025$97.8M+17%
Q2 2025$96M+37%
Q1 2025$88.2M+95%
Q4 2024$91.1M+116%

KRYS has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

KRYS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $90M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $90M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$90.3M+138%
Q2 2026$71.2M+40%
Q1 2026$73.2M+196%
Q4 2025$75.4M+45%
Q3 2025$38M-34%
Q2 2025$50.8M+$56.1M
Q1 2025$24.8M+69%
Q4 2024$52M+$61.1M

KRYS has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

KRYS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+181K shares
1 year+3.4%+1M shares
3 years+6.7%+1.9M shares
5 years+39%+8.6M shares
Available history+94%+14.9M shares

KRYS has 31M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over KRYS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

KRYS Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -11.2xQ4 2024: -4.8xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.0xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2024: -11.2xQ4 2024: -4.8xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.0xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.8xNet Cash

KRYS has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

KRYS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.9Neutral
Stochastic31.3Neutral

KRYS's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

KRYS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricKRYSSector medianRelative
PE42x26x61% above
PE %422913 pts above

KRYS is trading at 42x earnings, a 61% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over KRYS on valuation relative to its sector.

KRYS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.84.7% below
20 week MA$336.99.3% below
50 week MA$300.81.6% above
100 week MA$231.732% above
200 week MA$184.566% above

KRYS has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

KRYS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.2$60.6+0.7%
2021$60.6$72.3+19%
2022$72.3$76.6+5.9%
2023$76.6$124.1+62%
2024$124.1$159.3+28%
2025$159.3$252.2+58%
2026 YTD$252.2$305.7+21%

KRYS has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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