KNSL
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.
KNSL has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
KNSL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
KNSL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KNSL.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
KNSL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 17x | $390 | — |
| Forward | 18x | $390 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $526 | +35% |
| Fair | 33x | $767 | +97% |
| Expensive | 47x | $1,068 | +174% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
KNSL has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
KNSL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect KNSL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over KNSL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
KNSL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $21.55 | -6% |
| Q3 2026 | $22.93 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.66 | +29% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.70 | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.65 | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.35 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.16 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.37 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.78 | +34% |
KNSL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $22.93 over the past year, up 13% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over KNSL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
KNSL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $454.8M | -8.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $548.5M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $466.7M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $483.3M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $497.5M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $469.8M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $423.4M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $412.1M | +17% |
KNSL's revenue is growing: $455M last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | -8.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 36% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | -3.4 points |
KNSL's operating margin was 27% last quarter, down 8.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over KNSL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
KNSL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $261.8M | -9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $239.1M | -5.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $241.3M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $230.8M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $289.5M | +8% |
| Q2 2025 | $252.1M | -8.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $217.6M | +5.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $202.2M | -3.9% |
KNSL has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
KNSL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -281K shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -767K shares |
| 3 years | -3.5% | -811K shares |
| 5 years | -2.4% | -560K shares |
| Available history | +1.7% | +368K shares |
KNSL has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100M |
| Q2 2026 | $100.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $62.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $50M |
| Q3 2025 | $20M |
| Q2 2025 | $10M |
| Q1 2025 | $10M |
KNSL spent $313M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
KNSL Net Leverage
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
KNSL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.9 | Neutral |
KNSL's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
KNSL PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | KNSL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 13x | 31% above |
| PE % | 10 | 63 | 53 pts below |
KNSL is trading at 17x earnings, a 31% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS has the edge over KNSL on valuation relative to its sector.
KNSL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $358.3 | 8.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $360.9 | 8% above |
| 50 week MA | $357.7 | 9% above |
| 100 week MA | $403.3 | 3.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $399.6 | 2.4% below |
KNSL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 2.4% below its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
KNSL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $100.7 | $207.3 | +106% |
| 2021 | $207.3 | $224.4 | +8.2% |
| 2022 | $224.4 | $273.8 | +22% |
| 2023 | $273.8 | $334.9 | +22% |
| 2024 | $334.9 | $470.7 | +41% |
| 2025 | $470.7 | $393.4 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $393.4 | $389.8 | -0.9% |
KNSL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 0.9% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over KNSL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.