KNSL

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

67
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

KNSL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 17x earnings, about half its usual 34x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

KNSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

KNSL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KNSL.

KNSL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$390—
Forward18x$390—
Cheap23x$526+35%
Fair33x$767+97%
Expensive47x$1,068+174%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KNSL's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 18x.

KNSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect KNSL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

KNSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$480.85
Downside-19%$316.33

Calculated from the latest close: $389.84 on Nov 12.

KNSL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +23% against −19%.

KNSL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.22Q1 2024: $15.06Q2 2024: $15.91Q3 2024: $17.55Q4 2024: $17.78Q1 2025: $17.37Q2 2025: $19.16Q3 2025: $20.35Q4 2025: $21.65Q1 2026: $22.70Q2 2026: $24.66Q3 2026: $22.93Forward: $21.55
Q4 2023: $13.22Q1 2024: $15.06Q2 2024: $15.91Q3 2024: $17.55Q4 2024: $17.78Q1 2025: $17.37Q2 2025: $19.16Q3 2025: $20.35Q4 2025: $21.65Q1 2026: $22.70Q2 2026: $24.66Q3 2026: $22.93Forward: $21.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$21.55-6%
Q3 2026$22.93+13%
Q2 2026$24.66+29%
Q1 2026$22.70+31%
Q4 2025$21.65+22%
Q3 2025$20.35+16%
Q2 2025$19.16+20%
Q1 2025$17.37+15%
Q4 2024$17.78+34%

KNSL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $22.93 over the past year, up 13% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.

KNSL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $351MQ1 2024: $373MQ2 2024: $385MQ3 2024: $418MQ4 2024: $412MQ1 2025: $423MQ2 2025: $470MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $483MQ1 2026: $467MQ2 2026: $549MQ3 2026: $455M
Q4 2023: $351MQ1 2024: $373MQ2 2024: $385MQ3 2024: $418MQ4 2024: $412MQ1 2025: $423MQ2 2025: $470MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $483MQ1 2026: $467MQ2 2026: $549MQ3 2026: $455M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$454.8M-8.6%
Q2 2026$548.5M+17%
Q1 2026$466.7M+10%
Q4 2025$483.3M+17%
Q3 2025$497.5M+19%
Q2 2025$469.8M+22%
Q1 2025$423.4M+14%
Q4 2024$412.1M+17%

KNSL's revenue is growing: $455M last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

KNSL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $207MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $268MQ4 2024: $202MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $290MQ4 2025: $231MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $239MQ3 2026: $262M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $207MQ2 2024: $275MQ3 2024: $268MQ4 2024: $202MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $290MQ4 2025: $231MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $239MQ3 2026: $262M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$261.8M-9.6%
Q2 2026$239.1M-5.1%
Q1 2026$241.3M+11%
Q4 2025$230.8M+14%
Q3 2025$289.5M+8%
Q2 2025$252.1M-8.4%
Q1 2025$217.6M+5.2%
Q4 2024$202.2M-3.9%

KNSL's free cash flow was $973M over the past year, up 1.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KNSL.

KNSL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-281K shares
1 year-3.3%-767K shares
3 years-3.5%-811K shares
5 years-2.4%-560K shares
Available history+1.7%+368K shares

KNSL has 23M diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $313M in buybacks over the past year.

KNSL Net Leverage

KNSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.7Neutral
Stochastic71.9Neutral

KNSL's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

KNSL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricKNSLSector medianRelative
PE17x13x31% above
PE %106353 pts below

KNSL is trading at 17x earnings, a 31% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

KNSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$358.38.8% above
20 week MA$360.98% above
50 week MA$357.79% above
100 week MA$403.33.3% below
200 week MA$399.62.4% below

KNSL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 2.4% below its 200-week average.

KNSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.7$207.3+106%
2021$207.3$224.4+8.2%
2022$224.4$273.8+22%
2023$273.8$334.9+22%
2024$334.9$470.7+41%
2025$470.7$393.4-16%
2026 YTD$393.4$389.8-0.9%

KNSL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 0.9% so far in 2026.

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