KMT

Kennametal Inc.

62
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation92/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

KMT has a slight edge over RDW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

KMT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Strong

KMT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

KMT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE91x181x272x363x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE91x181x272x363x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.2x$24.26—
Forward9.6x$24.26—
Cheap15x$117+383%
Fair18x$137+466%
Expensive27x$206+750%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KMT's PE is in its cheap range at 3.2x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 9.6x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KMT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect KMT's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over KMT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

KMT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+8%$26.27
Downside-57%$10.54

Calculated from the latest close: $24.26 on Nov 12.

KMT trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KMT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

KMT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.51Q1 2024: $1.36Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.22Q1 2025: $1.39Q2 2025: $1.20Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.77Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $7.60Forward: $2.54
Q4 2023: $1.51Q1 2024: $1.36Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.22Q1 2025: $1.39Q2 2025: $1.20Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.77Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $7.60Forward: $2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.54-67%
Q3 2026$7.60+523%
Q2 2026$4.42+268%
Q1 2026$1.77+27%
Q4 2025$1.43+17%
Q3 2025$1.22-4.7%
Q2 2025$1.20-12%
Q1 2025$1.39+2.2%
Q4 2024$1.22-19%

KMT has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

KMT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $516MQ2 2024: $543MQ3 2024: $482MQ4 2024: $482MQ1 2025: $486MQ2 2025: $516MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $530MQ1 2026: $593MQ2 2026: $737MQ3 2026: $768M
Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $516MQ2 2024: $543MQ3 2024: $482MQ4 2024: $482MQ1 2025: $486MQ2 2025: $516MQ3 2025: $498MQ4 2025: $530MQ1 2026: $593MQ2 2026: $737MQ3 2026: $768M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$768.2M+54%
Q2 2026$736.6M+43%
Q1 2026$592.6M+22%
Q4 2025$529.5M+9.8%
Q3 2025$498M+3.3%
Q2 2025$516.4M-4.9%
Q1 2025$486.4M-5.7%
Q4 2024$482.1M-2.7%

KMT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $768M last quarter, up 54% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over KMT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KMT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$97MQ3 2026: −$212M
Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $36MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$97MQ3 2026: −$212M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$212.1M-$206.6M
Q2 2026-$96.9M-270%
Q1 2026-$20.9M-495%
Q4 2025$42.4M+18%
Q3 2025-$5.5M-126%
Q2 2025$57.1M-37%
Q1 2025$5.3M-89%
Q4 2024$35.9M-2.6%

KMT's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$287M over the past year.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has the edge over KMT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KMT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 78MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 78MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 78MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+696K shares
1 year+1.7%+1.3M shares
3 years-3.2%-2.6M shares
5 years-7.8%-6.6M shares
Available history-6%-5M shares

KMT has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

KMT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

KMT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

KMT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic6.8Oversold

KMT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

KMT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricKMTSector medianRelative
PE3.2x24x87% below
PE %05858 pts below

KMT is trading at 3.2x earnings, a 87% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KMT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.016% below
20 week MA$30.821% below
50 week MA$33.427% below
100 week MA$27.913% below
200 week MA$26.99.7% below

KMT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.7% below its 200-week average.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

KMT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.1$37.4+0.8%
2021$37.4$35.6-4.9%
2022$35.6$24.3-32%
2023$24.3$25.8+6.4%
2024$25.8$24.2-6.3%
2025$24.2$29.3+21%
2026 YTD$29.3$24.3-17%

KMT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over KMT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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