KMT
Kennametal Inc.
KMT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 3.2x earnings, less than half its usual 18x. Its downside scenario is about seven times its upside.
KMT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
KMT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.
KMT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 3.2x | $24.26 | — |
| Forward | 9.6x | $24.26 | — |
| Cheap | 15x | $117 | +383% |
| Fair | 18x | $137 | +466% |
| Expensive | 27x | $206 | +750% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
KMT's PE is in its cheap range at 3.2x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 9.6x next year's earnings.
KMT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect KMT's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
KMT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.52 | -67% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.60 | +523% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +268% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.77 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.43 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.22 | -4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.20 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.39 | +2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.22 | -19% |
KMT's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $7.60 over the past year, up from $1.22 the year before.
KMT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $768.2M | +54% |
| Q2 2026 | $736.6M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $592.6M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $529.5M | +9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $498M | +3.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $516.4M | -4.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $486.4M | -5.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $482.1M | -2.7% |
KMT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $768M last quarter, up 54% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +42 points |
| Q2 2026 | 41% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +4.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.9% | +3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.5% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1% | -5.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.1% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.6% | +0.8 points |
KMT's operating margin was 49% last quarter, up 42 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
KMT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$212.1M | -$206.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$96.9M | -270% |
| Q1 2026 | -$20.9M | -495% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.4M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.5M | -126% |
| Q2 2025 | $57.1M | -37% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.3M | -89% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.9M | -2.6% |
KMT's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$287M over the past year.
KMT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.9% | +696K shares |
| 1 year | +1.7% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -3.2% | -2.6M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -6.6M shares |
| Available history | -6% | -5M shares |
KMT has 78M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $38,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $38,000 |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $38,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $10M |
| Q2 2025 | $5M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | $15M |
KMT has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
KMT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
KMT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.
KMT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.8 | Oversold |
KMT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
KMT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | KMT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.2x | 24x | 87% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
KMT is trading at 3.2x earnings, a 87% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
KMT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.0 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $30.8 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $33.4 | 27% below |
| 100 week MA | $27.9 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $26.9 | 9.7% below |
KMT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.7% below its 200-week average.
KMT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.1 | $37.4 | +0.8% |
| 2021 | $37.4 | $35.6 | -4.9% |
| 2022 | $35.6 | $24.3 | -32% |
| 2023 | $24.3 | $25.8 | +6.4% |
| 2024 | $25.8 | $24.2 | -6.3% |
| 2025 | $24.2 | $29.3 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.3 | $24.3 | -17% |
KMT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.