JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over WU overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
WU
The Western Union Company
WU offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
WU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
WU's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WU.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over WU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
WU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.6x | $6.65 | — |
| Cheap | 4.8x | $5.02 | -25% |
| Current | 6.3x | $6.65 | — |
| Fair | 6.8x | $7.12 | +7.1% |
| Expensive | 11x | $11.13 | +67% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WU's PE is in its fair range at 6.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x, in its cheap range.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
WU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect WU's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over WU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.44 | +37% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.05 | -54% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.23 | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.36 | -49% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.52 | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.30 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.65 | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.69 | +59% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.74 | +63% |
WU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.05 over the past year, against $2.74 in late 2024.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the edge over WU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over WU on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
WU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | -2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $982.7M | -0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $983.6M | -6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +0.6% |
WU's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $1B last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -5.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +1.7 points |
WU's operating margin was 13% last quarter, down 6.6 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
WU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $99.9M | -60% |
| Q2 2026 | $94.6M | +$102.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $102.6M | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $115.5M | -3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $252.7M | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.8M | +$31.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $144.8M | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $119.7M | -54% |
WU has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over WU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
WU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -2.9% | -9.3M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -61.5M shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -94.5M shares |
| Available history | -26% | -111M shares |
WU has 314M diluted shares, down 2.9% from a year ago, with $92M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $52.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $26.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $52.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $79.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $76.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $3.7M |
WU spent $92M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over WU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
WU's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WU.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
WU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.7 | Neutral |
WU's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
WU PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | WU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.3x | 13x | 51% below |
| PE % | 42 | 63 | 21 pts below |
WU has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over WU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
WU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.31 | 5.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $6.96 | 4.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.17 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.77 | 24% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.5 | 37% below |
WU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 37% below its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over WU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
WU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.4 | $21.9 | -20% |
| 2021 | $21.9 | $17.8 | -19% |
| 2022 | $17.8 | $13.8 | -22% |
| 2023 | $13.8 | $11.9 | -14% |
| 2024 | $11.9 | $10.7 | -10% |
| 2025 | $10.7 | $9.40 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.40 | $6.65 | -29% |
WU has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.